the iowa market is still telling us that the dems will not be happy come november.
very high probability the pubs will have the senate.
and a somewhat high probability that the dems will loose the house.
at this point if you want to play that futures market it does not look like you would make much money by betting the pubs would take the senate. (the odds are high, so the payout is very modest).
Great site bear! Thanks for sharing. No surprises/confirms reality. Good interpretation.
I misinterpreted it a bit the first time.
| Name: | CONGRESS22 |
| Description: | 2022 Congressional Control Market |
| Open Date: | 02/26/21 11:00 AM |
| Close Date: |
| Name | Description |
| DH_DS22 | $1 if Democratic House, Democratic Senate; $0 otherwise |
| DH_RS22 | $1 if Democratic House, Republican Senate; $0 otherwise |
| RH_DS22 | $1 if Republican House, Democratic Senate; $0 otherwise |
| RH_RS22 | $1 if Republican House, Republican Senate; $0 otherwise |
| OTHER22 | $1 if none of the named contract has a pay off of $1; $0 otherwise |
| Name | BundleType | Price | Net Issued | Description |
| CONGRESS22 | Fixed Price | 1.000 | 1,938 | One of each contract in the CONGRESS22 market |
| CONGRESS22 | Market Price | One of each contract in the CONGRESS22 market |