USDA May 12, 2022
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Started by metmike - May 12, 2022, 11:42 a.m.

Get ready for 11 am CDT fireworks!

@kannbwx·

All trade estimates for USDA's Thursday reports, due at noon EDT. This will be USDA's first official outlook for 2022/23, but also watch for any updates to 2021/22.

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By metmike - May 12, 2022, 11:44 a.m.
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@kannbwxConab increased #Brazil's #corn crop based on a bump in second crop production, despite some recent dry conditions in key states. That increased export expectations. Exports were unch for #soybeans but the crop got bigger.

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By metmike - May 12, 2022, 11:47 a.m.
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@kannbwx

Trade will be watching #Brazil's #corn crop estimate in USDA's Thursday report. Analysts see the crop about 2 mmt smaller than last month. Brazil #soybeans seen down slightly, #Argentina corn/soy crops pegged a bit lower too.

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By metmike - May 12, 2022, 12:18 p.m.
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metmike: Looks BULLISH for wheat to me.

@kannbwx

USDA projects 2022/23 ending stocks for U.S. #corn & #wheat will fall from the current year, but #soybeans are seen increasing. These trends align with trade expectations.

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By metmike - May 12, 2022, 12:30 p.m.
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@kannbwx

World #wheat stocks in 2022/23 are pegged well below trade expectations, but #corn comes in well above and #soybeans above. Old-crop corn stocks are up and soybeans are down.

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By metmike - May 12, 2022, 12:30 p.m.
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@kannbwx

USDA predicts #Ukraine's 2022/23 #corn crop will plunge 54% on the year with exports down 61%. #Wheat production is seen down 35% from last year and exports are set to fall 47%.

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By metmike - May 12, 2022, 12:31 p.m.
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@kannbwx

USDA reduces its outlook for 2021/22 #Argentina #soybeans, but Argy #corn and #Brazil corn & soy crops were unchanged from April.

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By metmike - May 12, 2022, 12:36 p.m.
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n@kannbwx

USDA REDUCES its 2022/23 U.S. #corn trend yield to 177 bu/acre from 181 unofficially in its outlook forum based on slow planting pace. #Soybeans stay at 51.5 bu/acre. Corn plantings are lower/soy higher than what was being assumed in the Feb outlooks following March intentions.

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By Jim_M - May 12, 2022, 3:57 p.m.
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Things are not lining up very well for grains.  We better have really good weather this year.  I saw your posts about La Niña Mike.  Going to be an interesting summer.

By metmike - May 12, 2022, 8:30 p.m.
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Agree strongly Jim!

Would not be surprised at limit moves dozens of times.

By metmike - May 16, 2022, 11:55 a.m.
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Conab's website Thursday afternoon seems to reflect a correction to the #Brazil #corn estimate from earlier. That crop is now pegged DOWN from last month at 114.58 million tonnes vs 115.6 mmt forecast last month.


@kannbwx

 ·

Conab increased #Brazil's #corn crop based on a bump in second crop production, despite some recent dry conditions in key states. That increased export expectations. Exports were unch for #soybeans but the crop got bigger.


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