iowa election futures market
7 responses | 0 likes
Started by bear - Oct. 26, 2022, 11:32 p.m.

https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/

the odds of the pubs taking both chambers of congress are once again going higher.  

Comments
By metmike - Oct. 27, 2022, 12:54 a.m.
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Thanks bear!

Makes sense that most of the democrat votes will come from people that always vote the D ticket no matter what.


By joj - Oct. 27, 2022, 8:05 a.m.
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Vote D to save our democracy.

Beware intimidation/bullying by "poll watchers"....  I refer to them as thugs.

By bear - Oct. 29, 2022, 3:19 p.m.
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/stossel-betting-2022-midterms-091623138.html

betting odds...similar to election futures.  

By joj - Oct. 29, 2022, 8:27 p.m.
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The only problem with the betting sites on politics is that there is a limit on bet size.  So I'm not sure what sort of expertise that draws.

By metmike - Oct. 29, 2022, 11:26 p.m.
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Thanks bear,

I agree with Stossel!


Not sure how having a limit on bet size would alter the position of it being the "smart money".

http://electionbettingodds.com/

Scary to see that the betters have Trump odds leading for president in 2024. I strongly disagree with that. If that actually happened, I think that the extreme political divisiveness that we currently have in this country, will look like peace and harmony compared to another presidency under Donald Trump.

By joj - Oct. 30, 2022, 8:39 a.m.
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"Smart money" wouldn't bother with such a small wager.  Not worth the time it takes to click it.

For example: Do you think Warren Buffet would bother?

I think the limit at predictit.org is like $800 or so.


By metmike - Oct. 30, 2022, 9:59 a.m.
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thanks, joj.

I see exactly what you mean. That could actually be a factor.

In today's age where the big money often controls markets, sometimes they push them to points where they don't belong based on fundamentals also.