With regard to drought, the global trends indicate there has actually been a de-intensification of meteorological (climate-related) drought from 1959-2014 relative to to 1902-1959.
“The results revealed that: 1) meteorological drought in most climate regions intensified during 1902–1958 but showed a wetting trend during 1959–2014.”
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Less drought lines up exactly with my personal observations using empirical data/measurements of the real atmosphere as an operational meteorologist the past 4+ decades.
Global climate models with great uncertainties get trumped by real world data which is always a certainty.
Climate fraud! Notice this group is all about THE MONEY!
Finance & Development https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/2021/09/infographic-series-net-zero-2050-IEA-report
Net Zero by 2050 (metmike-near 0% chance of that)
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This is nothing but a pack of blatant lies to sell crony capitalism, political agenda, dishonest science and ratings seeking media, along with completely misled counterproductive environmentalism!
Here's the truth below:
·If you were serious about reducing CO2 emissions you would be protesting in Asia, not the US or Europe where CO2 emissions have been declining for decades.#ClimateScam https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?country=USA~OWID_EUR~OWID_ASI
Energy transition is a hoax
25 responses |
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/94557/
There Is No Energy Transition, Just Energy Addition
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/03/12/there-is-no-energy-transition-just-energy-addition/
While wind and solar power are taking a larger piece out of a growing world primary energy pie, fossil fuels are expected to have more absolute growth through 2050.
As Liberty Energy CEO Chris Wright explained in his viral video a few weeks ago, dishonest terminology surrounds the climate debate. One of these terms is “Energy Transition”. The term’s use gives the impression that there exists a quick, easy and scalable alternative to eliminate fossil fuel use without serious impact on people.
Current primary energy distribution by source, and forecasts by organizations like the EIA in their International Energy Outlook 2021, show that this “energy transition” is non-existent. As you can see in the title graph above, and also in Liberty’s ESG report on Bettering Human Lives, no present quantity of primary energy generated by oil or gas is currently replaced by renewables. A couple of headlines from the report that you don’t hear a lot:
The reason for this growth is simple: fossil fuels are abundant, cheap and efficient to provide reliable and dense energy at scale. They have helped to generate a quality-of-life revolution for a portion of humanity, and people in poverty who have missed out on this blessing rightfully want what you and I already have.
Best Things First is now out as an audiobook Picked by Financial Times as one of 2023 Best Summer Books It shows how to do the most good in the world: For $35bn/yr: save 4.2 million lives and make the poorer world $1.1 trillion richer —every year! https://amazon.com/Audible-Best-Things-First/dp/B0CD98ZH79
New York Times claims the US is "rapidly moving away from fossil fuels" No The article doesn't show data Here is % US energy consumption from fossil fuels 2023 is right on trend Hits 0% fossil fuels in just 244 years Rapid? https://archive.ph/5Omguhttps://eia.gov/totalenergy/data/browser/index.php?tbl=T01.03.php
HumanProgress.org@HumanProgress
In 2016 a paper was published by 32 authors from 24 institutions in 8 countries that analyzed satellite data and concluded that there had been a roughly 14% increase in green vegetation over 30 years. Read more: https://humanprogress.org/ridley-rejoice-the-earth-is-becoming-greener/
You know it's serious extreme weather when MSNBC rolls out Bill Nye to drop some science knowledge on their viewers. He doesn't disappoint with a truly bizarre explanation for Hurricane Hilary. Bill Nye is a complete fraud.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/08/24/an-x-thread-on-climate-hypocrisy-by-dr-simon-goddek/
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/08/23/german-scientists-global-warming-a-corrupt-fear-mongering-scheme-headed-by-super-rich/
US burn acreage so far this year is the lowest since 1998, and ninth lowest since 1926. Burn acreage is down 96% since 1930. #ClimateScam
·
Avoiding both heat and cold deaths requires affordable energy. In the US, cheap gas from fracking allowed millions to keep warmer with low budgets, saving 12,500 lives yearly. Climate policy, which makes most energy more expensive, achieves the opposite.
Proud to announce the paper The Detection and Attribution of Northern Hemisphere Land Surface Warming (1850–2018) in Terms of Human and Natural Factors: Challenges of Inadequate Data that was spearheaded by Willie Soon and Ronan Connolly, plus 38 other contributing authors of which I was one, was just published in th journal Climate as part of the Special Issue Natural Drivers of Climate Change: Emerging Research. online access at https://mdpi.com/2225-1154/11/9
https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/11/9/179
The rural and urban blend indicates a long-term warming of 0.89 °C/century since 1850, while the rural-only indicates 0.55 °C/century. This contradicts a common assumption that current thermometer-based global temperature indices are relatively unaffected by urban warming biases
China has now approved/building more new coal power than all existing US coal plants More provinces "jump on the bandwagon" China didn't get the "but renewables are cheaper" memo (because infinitely costly when no wind/sun) https://archive.ph/FOPTx
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/98304/#98314
This is nothing but a pack of blatant lies to sell crony capitalism, political agenda, dishonest science and ratings seeking media, along with completely misled counterproductive environmentalism!
Here's the truth below:
·If you were serious about reducing CO2 emissions you would be protesting in Asia, not the US or Europe where CO2 emissions have been declining for decades.#ClimateScamhttps://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?country=USA~OWID_EUR~OWID_ASI
metmike: What do China and India know that we don't?
It's called authentic science, energy and economics based on physical laws not fake green fairy tales.
Vivek will continue to run circles around corporate media interviewers since none of them, especially Andrea Mitchell and Chuck Todd, have any cursory or ancillary knowledge on the subject, politically or scientifically. And, won't put in the work.
@VivekGRamaswamy
·
Here’s the TRUTH: the climate disaster death rate has *declined* by 98% over the last century, even as carbon emissions have risen. The average person is 50X less likely to die of a climate-related cause than in 1920. Why? Fossil fuels. And 8x as many people die from cold… Show more
https://twitter.com/i/status/1696633024241180764
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What's funny is that far left climate activists here on X are having a struggle session on how to combat Vivek's facts and arguments. They're coming up empty, so they'll probably revert to an ugly smear. Vivek is effectively channeling the WSJ editorial pages, Stephen Moore, Alex Epstein, and the iron law of climate policy from Roger Pielke Jr: economic growth, if given a choice, will always win out vs. offering degrowth, depopulation, immiseration, impoverishment, and doomerism.
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metmike: They are correct!
From Dr. Roy Spencer’s Global Warming Blog
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/08/31/martha-stewart-exposes-the-ignorance-of-climate-alarmists/
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Continuing the path laid out by Susan Crockford in Polar Bear Science earlier this month
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/08/30/those-damn-polar-bears-refuse-to-die/
Mike Maguire
September 1, 2023 8:19 am
Amazing how they were able to abolish the law of photosynthesis!
They ignore the planet’s booming biosphere/massively greening up and instead, focus all their time looking for bad things happening on the planet and cherry pick them as evidence of a climate crisis.
Forget that we have effective pesticides and herbicides and technologies for crops to manage some of those bad things. Believe that, the same conditions, supposedly beneficial for all the bad life, are somehow killing all the good life!
Totally forget the laws of agronomy and discard critical thinking and never fact check their stuff by going to sources with authentic data. Just believe the scary stories and false narratives about a climate crisis caused by a beneficial gas that’s only half the optimal level for plants and most life.
Here’s how we know this is dishonest, biased work practicing the ANTI scientific method.
Objective science tells us ALL sides and everything impacting the realm being discussed. Not just being selective to filter out things that contradict what the scientist wants to convince others of.
Objective science gives authentic weighting to EVERYTHING, including inconvenient very powerful facts/evidence that counter what the scientist wants to be true.
Sadly, climate science was hijacked 3 decades ago and now, this sort of shoddy work is what defines mainstream science to support the fake climate crisis.
Plant Dry Weight (Biomass) Responses to Atmospheric CO2 Enrichment-plants that start with the letter C.
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/dry_subject_c.php
Cacao:
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/t/theobromac.php
Citrus:
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/c/citrus.php
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/c/citrusl.php
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/c/citrusa.php
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/c/citrusr.php
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/c/citrussin.php
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/c/citruss.php
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Mike Maguire
Reply to Mike Maguire
September 1, 2023 9:31 am
It defies critical thinking to believe that a beneficial gas, at 50% the optimal level, which is warming, the planet by 1 Deg. C and mostly the coldest places……….which has increased the growing season by over a week and REDUCED frost/freeze damage risk significantly…………is actually causing a net harm to the exact plants/crops that are benefiting the most in this current climate optimum.
Slightly more disease?
Slightly higher insect pressure?
Sure, I get that.
But they take an authentic math equation like this (that might represent the weighting of goods vs bads of CO2/climate change:
5+4+3+2-1-1-1 = +11
And twist it into -1-1-1 =-3 and it’s killing the planet
Then tell us that +11 is actually -3.
The saddest part of this junk science is not that some dishonest scientists are displaying human cognitive bias. That’s to be expected.
It’s really pathetic because that’s what defines mainstream climate science in 2023!
The solution to save the planet is always to cut CO2 emissions.
Get rid of the exact reason we have all this wonderful technology.
Get rid of the synthetic fertilizers made with natural gas boosting global food production/crop yields by 50%, including all the crops discussed in this article.
But the reason that we know that they must know that it can’t work is this:
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/annual-co2-emissions-per-country?country=USA~OWID_EUR~OWID_ASI
They are just exploiting this scam to enrich their self serving interests. Whether its crony capitalism, dishonest science for fame/rewards, political agenda, ratings driven dishonest media or misled environmentalism………..it’s all based on fairly tale, manufactured schemes using completely impossible, scenario’s that have a near 0 chance of ever coming anywhere near happening (other than on computer screens) even if society was 100% on board with the scam.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/09/02/the-australian-academy-of-science-science-or-wokeness/
Conclusion: A Once-Esteemed Organisation’s Fall from Grace
Ridd concludes his article with a somber reflection on the state of the AAS:
“I have been saying for some time that many of our science institutions have become totally untrustworthy. By its wilful abandonment of quantitative analysis, the AAS has destroyed its reputation as a source of useful scientific advice… The Australian Academy of Science is now a joke.”
This article serves as a stark reminder of the importance of maintaining the integrity of scientific institutions and how far they’ve fallen. When political agendas overshadow genuine scientific inquiry, it not only undermines the credibility of the institution but also has broader implications for public trust in science.
In an era where trust in institutions is already waning, it’s crucial for scientific bodies like the AAS to return to upholding the principles of genuine scientific research. The Great Barrier Reef, one of the world’s most treasured natural wonders, deserves nothing less.
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Mike Maguire
September 2, 2023 9:21 pm
They cherry pick items in most fields that are related to climate science.
If there are 10 separate elements which define the understanding of a particular climate science realm, they intentionally discard everything that shows benefits in discussions.
Also with all the negatives that they use, there is an enormous amount of distorting and exaggerating.
If that were not true and they were being objective and honest, then most discussions would also include large parts about the massive benefits.
The stone cold fact is that the biggest impact from increasing CO2, by an extremely wide margin is being caused by its role in the indisputable law of photosynthesis.
The realm being impacted the most…………get’s the least coverage because their objective is activism NOT science.
Authentic science tells us all the comprehensive facts, including those the scientist doesn’t want to be true.
Activism tries to convince people to believe something so that, by controlling their opinion(s) you can generate enough support for your cause so that political actions will be taken.
If I’m trying to sell you my car or house, I tell you all the good things but not the bad ones that will scare off potential buyers.
That’s how people act when they are selling something. Use car dealers have a bad reputation because of this.
Science, however should tell us EVERYTHING. Good and bad because the mission for all authentic scientists should be to EDUCATE people so that they understand the topic.
Sadly, mainstream climate science is SELLING a fake crisis NOT reporting objective science or educating us with authentic science.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30956938/
Purpose of review: Atmospheric blocking events represent some of the most high-impact weather patterns in the mid-latitudes, yet they have often been a cause for concern in future climate projections. There has been low confidence in predicted future changes in blocking, despite relatively good agreement between climate models on a decline in blocking.
Summary: The term 'blocking' covers a diverse array of synoptic patterns, and hence a bewildering range of indices has been developed to identify events. Results are hence not considered fully trustworthy until they have been found using several different methods. Examples of such robust results are the underestimation of blocking by models, and an overall decline in future occurrence, albeit with a complex regional and seasonal variation. In contrast, hemispheric trends in blocking over the recent historical period are not supported by different methods, and natural variability will likely dominate regional variations over the next few decades.
Sep 5, 2023
https://twitter.com/MatthewWielicki/status/1699420781053165939
I just got published in Nature because I stuck to a narrative I knew the editors would like. That’s not the way science should work.
https://www.thefp.com/p/i-overhyped-climate-change-to-get-published
Dr. Matthew M. Wielicki@MatthewWielicki
You only need to look at the top climate papers in 2021 and 2022 to see how researchers are incentivized to make the most outrageous claims and get the most media engagement. Nearly all of these are unscientific. I will be systematically dismantling each of these papers on my substack.
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Dr. Matthew M. Wielicki@MatthewWielicki
This sums up publishing in climate science. But is it accurate and scientifically ethical to report science like this?
Mr. Singh pointed out the inconvenient fact that renewables are not a realistic alternative to fossil fuels for generating large amounts of electricity. The requirement to back up wind and solar with batteries increases their cost by nearly fivefold, he said.
The cost of renewables is not just an issue in developing economies. Even in the wealthiest countries, wind and solar are notorious for increasing the overall cost of power.
Writer Michael Shellenberger argues that consumers have been bearing much of these costs. For example, he says that “renewables had contributed to electricity prices rising 50% in Germany and five times more in California than in the rest of the U.S. despite generating just 17% of the state’s electricity.”
Availability and affordability of raw materials for batteries are also a growing concern. Contrary to popular claims that the prices of storage systems have declined, data show that their raw materials are becoming more expensive.
Re: Re: Re: Energy transition is a hoax
By metmike - April 18, 2023, 2:41 p.m.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/09/10/why-co2-is-not-a-pollutant/
Mike Maguire
September 10, 2023 9:23 pm
All the scientific measurements tell us clearly that earth is having a climate optimum because of the warming of 1 Deg. C and the best weather/climate in the previous 1,000 years (the last time that it was this warm, during the Medieval WARM Period).
At least this warm during the Roman WARM Period-2,000 years ago.
At least this warm during the Minoan WARM period~3,500 years ago.
But we are not as warm in the higher latitudes as during the Holocene Climate OPTIMUM-9,000 to 5,000 years ago.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocene_climatic_optimum
Of 140 sites across the western Arctic, there is clear evidence for conditions that were warmer than now at 120 sites. At 16 sites for which quantitative estimates have been obtained, local temperatures were on average 1.6±0.8 °C higher during the optimum than now. Northwestern North America reached peak warmth first, from 11,000 to 9,000 years ago, but the Laurentide Ice Sheet still chilled eastern Canada. Northeastern North America experienced peak warming 4,000 years later. Along the Arctic Coastal Plain in Alaska, there are indications of summer temperatures 2–3 °C warmer than now.[10] Research indicates that the Arctic had less sea ice than now.[1
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But this is just from the positive contribution to life on this greening planet from the slight beneficial warming over the past century.
This includes growing seasons extended more than a week in the coldest places and to higher latitudes which is especially positive for food production.
When you dial in the enormous positive contribution of increasing CO2 from the indisputable law of photosynthesis, which is currently less than half the optimal level of 900 parts per million, then this current climate OPTIMUM for most life greatly exceeds the best of any other time frame since humans have existed.
Not despite climate change/global warming but exactly BECAUSE OF it.
Our planet continues to massively green up from the increase in CO2.
Carbon Dioxide Fertilization Greening Earth, Study Finds
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth
Models that use photosynthesis and the real world, continue to predict the massive greening thru the year 2100!
Global Green Up Slows Warming
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/146296/global-green-up-slows-warming
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Here is irrefutable evidence using empirical data to show that the increase in CO2 is causing a huge increase in crop yields/world food production and a booming biosphere on our greening planet.
We can separate the CO2 effect out from other factors effecting crops and plants with many thousands of studies that hold everything else constant, except for elevated CO2.
Observing and documenting the results of experiments with elevated CO2 levels, tell us what increasing CO2 does to many hundreds of plants. It’s the most powerful effect from CO2 on our planet by an extremely wide margin.
Here’s how to access the empirical evidence/data from the site that has more of it than any other. Please go to this link:
http://www.co2science.org/data/data.php
Go to plant growth data base:
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/plantgrowth.php
Go to plant dry weight(biomass):
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/dry_subject.php
Pick the name of a plant, any plant and go to it based on its starting letter. Let’s pick soybeans. Go to the letter S,
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/dry_subject_s.php
Then scroll down and hit soybeans. This is what you get:
http://www.co2science.org/data/plant_growth/dry/g/glycinem.php
Glycine max (L.) Merr. [Soybean]
Statistics
300 ppm 600 ppm 900 ppm
Number of Results 290 29 7
Arithmetic Mean 47.9% 70.7% 80.9%
Standard Error 2.2% 7.1 8.9%
This tells us that there were 290 studies with the CO2 elevated by 300 ppm. The mean increase in plant biomass was 47.9% from all those studies.
The individual studies are listed below that at the link above.
USA Soybean yields in the real world since 1988 have doubled while CO2 increased by 65 ppm, so we have strong corroborating evidence.
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CO2 is the building block for all life in every single field of authentic science.
However, CO2 has been defined as pollution when it comes to misguided climate activism, political agenda/government policies, crony capitalism, corrupted science and the dishonest media.
https://www.eenews.net/articles/doomerism-why-scientists-disagree-with-biden-on-1-5-c/
“If we don’t keep it below 1.5 degrees centigrade, we lose it all,” he said. “We don’t get to turn it around.”
Last month, Biden went a step further by claiming that there was no way to reset the planet if warming topped 1.5 C.
“Our grandchildren and great-grandchildren are either going to have lives that are decent and honorable and good, or they’re going to be in real trouble,” Biden said at a Democratic National Committee fundraiser in California. “If we go to about 1.5 centigrade degrees above where we are now, we’re done. There’s no way to turn it around, according to the scientists that tell us.”
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This atmospheric scientist continues to insist that we are having a climate optimum for most life on this massively greening planet that has featured the best weather/climate since the last time that it was this warm.....The Medieval Climate Optimum/Warm Period, 1,000 years ago. That is based on all the authentic science/empirically measured data/observations.
The optimal level of CO2 for most life is just over double the current 420 parts per million. The optimal global temperature is still slightly warmer than this. Despite the warming, cold still kills 10 times more people and 200+ times more life than heat.
Biden is totally making this up for political agenda/corruption in government and science, crony capitalism, fake/misguided environmentalism and dishonest media reporting.
So that is what he thinks defines: “Our grandchildren and great-grandchildren are either going to have lives that are decent and honorable and good, or they’re going to be in real trouble,”
We are in deep trouble right now. Throw the bum out so that we can start fixing it!
US burn acreage this year so far is tenth lowest since 1926 and lowest of the century. Instead of reporting this news, the mainstream media chooses to bury it - because reality interferes with their #ClimateScam agenda.
Comparison of SIE in Antarctica 20yrs apart, see any catastrophe?
metmike: There are numerous marine heat waves on the planet this year, including the Antarctic waters(South Pole) which is likely melting alot of ice there from mostly natural variation but some from greenhouse gas warming.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/antarctica-sea-ice-loss-2023/
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2023/08/
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Arctic sea ice(North Pole), below however is not close to a record low. That was set over a decade ago(2012, dashed line).
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2023/08/
Great Barrier Reef report by the Australian Academy of Science: Lots of facts and figures on gender and race of participants But it forgot to mention
"25-50% of Earth’s vegetated lands has shown significant greening over the last 35 years largely due to rising levels of atmospheric CO2. The greening represents an increase in leaves on plants equivalent in area to 2 times the continental US." - NASA
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We're experiencing a climate OPTIMUM for most life,, NOT a crisis. Beneficial CO2 levels are still only half the optimal level for most life.
The Californian lawsuit contains this gem;
…
3. Defendants are large companies in the fossil fuel industry who have misled consumers and the public about climate change for decades. Defendants have known since at least the 1960s that fossil fuels produce carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas (GHG) pollution that would warm the planet and change our climate. Defendants’ own scientists knew as early as the 1950s that these climate impacts would be catastrophic, and that there was only a narrow window of time in which communities and governments could take action before the consequences became catastrophic.
4. Rather than warn consumers, the public, and governments, however, Defendants mounted a disinformation campaign beginning at least as early as the 1970s to discredit the burgeoning scientific consensus on climate change; deny their own knowledge of climate change- related threats; create doubt in the minds of consumers, the media, teachers, policymakers, and the public about the reality and consequences of the impacts of burning fossil fuels; and delay the necessary transition to a lower-carbon future.
…Read more: https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/FINAL-9-15-COMPLAINT.pdf
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Mike Maguire
September 18, 2023 7:08 pm
So, they knew that life on our massively greening planet would be experiencing the current climate optimum from the increase in CO2? (which is still just half the optimal level for most life)
Farmers should be outraged because they weren’t prepared with enough storage for the record breaking crops (-:
The increase in CO2 has been humanities biggest gift to our planet by a wide margin.
In an honest, just world the major sources of beneficial CO2 would be getting a Nobel Prize for greening up the planet and massively increasing food production!
Based on AUTHENTIC science, as beneficial CO2 continues to increase, the planet will get greener and greener as most life loves it!
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69258/#69259
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We rescued the planet from dangerously low levels of atmospheric CO2!
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It's truly amazing how many millions or billions have been invested in getting to California vs. Big Oil and the climate science inside is cobbled together like a high school science project. Whoever wrote it deserves a clown nose.
The California vs. Big Oil suit is going nowhere because the climate science inside is blog level trash written by low info activists. It's truly malpractice. But, it wouldn't take much to improve the science in the complaint to make it very problematic in a California jury trial.
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Scientists that post crapola like this below are clearly blinded by their bias and unable to see how farcical and unscientific the lawsuit is.
Center for Climate Integrity@climatecosts
·
Dr. Matthew M. Wielicki@MatthewWielicki
Do you agree?
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The IPCC was hijacked by alarmists researchers causing honest objective scientists to resign.
There is some speculation that Antarctic sea ice extent, which has been at daily record lows for the last 4 months, might already have peaked for this year. It has been a very weird year, that I'm not sure anyone entirely understands.
From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/09/21/uk-migratory-birds-in-freefall-over-climate-change-bbc/
Mike Maguire
September 22, 2023 7:44 am
The biggest threat to life on this planet by a wide margin is cold. It’s actually why migratory birds need to migrate(to go to where warmth continues to provides food in the Winter).
This article wants us to believe that LESS cold in the Winter, which is reducing the greatest risk to life and resulting in less need for migration(which carries a lot of risk) is actually causing harm to the creatures that it benefits the most.
And making this truly absurd is the complete ignoring of the indisputable role that CO2 plays in the law of photosynthesis. The increase in this beneficial gas is massively greening up the planet and increasing food for creatures that have plant based diets(including seeds) to go with the less harsh Winters.
You can make a case for changes in the insect population being a factor for birds like this that feed on insects but insects benefit greatly from milder Winters.
Global climate models are broken and too warm because they use equations that amplify the forcing from CO2 in greenhouse gas warming by almost 50%.
RADIATIVE FORCING BY CO2 OBSERVED AT TOP OF ATMOSPHERE FROM 2002-2019
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1911.10605.pdf
“The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report predicted 0.508±0.102 Wm−2RF resulting from this CO2 increase, 42% more forcing than actually observed. The lack of quantitative long-term global OLR studies may be permitting inaccu-racies to persist in general circulation model forecasts of the effects of rising CO2 or other greenhouse gasses.”
However, look at what models based on photosynthesis and more reality based metrics show for the next 80 years. They’ve been verifying nicely during this period of beneficial warming for most life on this greening planet.
Global Green Up Slows Warming
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/146296/global-green-up-slows-warming
“The paper’s authors reviewed more than 250 published articles that have used satellite data, modeling, and field observations, to understand the causes and consequences of global greening. Among the key results, the authors noted that on a global scale greening can be attributed to the increase of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Rising levels of carbon dioxide increase the rate of photosynthesis and growth in plants.”
“It is ironic that the very same carbon emissions responsible for harmful changes to climate are also fertilizing plant growth,” said co-author Jarle Bjerke of the Norwegian Institute for Nature Research”
Is extreme weather costing us more as a proportion of GDP? No.
Pielke goes on to say that the entire episode “is an embarrassment.”
I worked in a @NOAA cooperative institute for 16 years & it is an important agency, staffed by smart, thoughtful scientists But the “billion dollar” disasters “connect the dots” propaganda is an embarrassment.
Despite the evidence that extreme weather events haven’t become more common or severe during the recent period of modest warming, the “connect the dots” propaganda continues today courtesy of disaster loaded NOAA press releases like the one that resulted this flurry of stories in the mainstream media in recent days, uncritically parroting NOAA’s claims.
Looking at the Scientific American headline, just how does “a record number of billion-dollar disasters show US isn’t ready for climate change”? According to hurricane data, the number of hurricanes making landfall in the United States has declined in recent decades. Hurricanes do billions of dollars more in damage compared to 30 years ago because more people live on hurricane prone coast, building and developing more expensive properties there.
The same holds true for destructive tornadoes and many other types of extreme weather.
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Mike Maguire
September 26, 2023 10:34 am
Thanks much, Anthony for the wonderful article!
Global warming/climate change has decreased the meridional temperature gradient. by warming the highest latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere the most by a wide margin. Warming the coldest places, in the coldest time of year and the nights the most.
They want you to believe that less extreme temperature gradients increase extreme weather.
Not on this planet if you follow the laws of physics and meteorology!
Global cooling is what would INCREASE many extreme weather realms!
https://www.drroyspencer.com/2019/05/recent-tornadoes-are-due-to-unusually-cold-weather/
By Charles Blaisdell PhD ChE
Mike Maguire
October 5, 2023 9:23 pm
Thanks for the article!
With the earth massively greening up, of course evapotranspiration has also increased a great deal.
Global Green Up Slows Warming
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/146296/global-green-up-slows-warming
In the last 60 years, the United States Corn Belt has doubled the number of tightly packed rows of corn and tripled the corn yields. The result has been like a science experiment in agronomy during the Summer/growing season, This 10 state area has seen regional increases in dew points of 5+ Deg. F on many occasions entirely from the added evapotranspiration of the corn.
This has created a micro climate for around 4 months of the year in this area.
The same impact is happening in other agricultural areas. Also, most places with natural vegetation that’s been greatly greening up with the greater foliage transpiring more.
Summer Climate Change in the Midwest and Great Plains due to Agricultural Development during the Twentieth Century
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/32/17/jcli-d-19-0096.1.xml
Americans Have Planted So Much Corn That It’s Changing the Weather
https://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/corn-belt-weather
The Corn Belt is making it rain.++++++++++
WEATHER LAB | What is corn sweat?
https://www.weareiowa.com/article/weather/weather-lab/science-of-weather-corn-sweat-evapotranspiration-water-vapor/524-de12a91b-35cd-4b48-9b21-c0ec6e11f794
An acre of corn can add up to 4,000 gallons of water vapor to the atmosphere per day!
‘Corn sweat’ in the Midwest can cause some of the most oppressive humidity in the US
Can you imagine stepping outside to a 90-degree dew point?
https://www.foxweather.com/learn/corn-sweat-midwest-most-oppressive-humidity-united-states
Climate Change Impacts in the Corn Belt
Why is the humidity so high? The answer is pretty corny.
https://addins.wrex.com/blogs/weather/2011/07/why-is-the-humidity-so-high-the-answer-is-pretty-corny
The United States’s Corn Belt is making its own weather Plentiful crops are changing rainfall and temperature trends
https://www.science.org/content/article/america-s-corn-belt-making-its-own-weather
++++++++++++
Mike Maguire
October 5, 2023 9:38 pm
This impact will continue for the next century at least as a result of increasing beneficial CO2, as we extend the current scientific/biological climate OPTIMUM for most life on this greening planet.
Here’s that article again to go with the attached graph that shows the expected leaf area increasing at every latitude across the planet thru the year 2100!
Global Green Up Slows Warming
https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/146296/global-green-up-slows-warming
