Windbag Storms! 3-5-25
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Started by metmike - March 6, 2025, 1:41 a.m.

Quite a pressure gradient with this low pressure system which is finally exited into Northeast Canada.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=19&parm=pmsl

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By metmike - March 6, 2025, 9:42 p.m.
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That storm lifted into Southeast Canada, followed by an new windbag storm along the Northeast Coast and another one developing in the Plains:

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=19&parm=pmsl

By metmike - March 6, 2025, 9:45 p.m.
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Been busy with our huge scholastic chess tournament the past 10 days and not posting as much(as well as our 6 teams competing in the Scholastic Chess of Indiana tournament-4 made it to the state championships on Mar. 22!).

Looks like we'll top 150 students again this year!

                Chess Tournament March 8, 2025            

                            Started by metmike - Feb. 23, 2025, 10:18 p.m.      

      https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/110108/

By metmike - March 6, 2025, 9:46 p.m.
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You can get all the comprehensive weather here with most of these maps constantly updated.


https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/


By metmike - March 6, 2025, 9:52 p.m.
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More very welcome rains and snows coming to California but look for the MSM to downplay the benefits and sensationalize any flooding. Amounts don't look that heavy:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/#83848


7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126



By metmike - March 7, 2025, 10:50 a.m.
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WOW! Look at the pressure/barometer reading in the very far Northeast on Friday morning!

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=19&parm=pmsl



    Latest, constantly updated map below.   

   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=19&parm=pmsl

By metmike - March 10, 2025, 3:35 p.m.
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We have a very intense windbag storm coming up this week!

This is the surface map for Friday night from the just updated 114 hour GEFS.


Here's the last  3-7 day forecast from the NWS below:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/#83848


Very early Saturday morning below:


Jet stream at 250 mb below. This is over 32,000 feet up, where the jets fly.

                                                                                                  

Level
    
Standard Height
    
1000 MB 364          ft111 m
925 MB2498 ft 762 m
850 MB4781 ft1458 m
700 MB9882 ft 3013 m
500 MB18289 ft5576 m
400 MB23574 ft7187 m
300 MB30065 ft9166 m
250 MB33999 ft10366 m
200 MB38662 ft11787 m
[Boqueteweather.com]


 

By metmike - March 10, 2025, 4:01 p.m.
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This means there WILL BE a regional  severe weather outbreak, including tornadoes.

This is the day 5 forecast for Friday morning to early Saturday morning. This will be INCREASED as the time frame to the event shrinks. I am thinking that the Storm Prediction Center will ramp up to at least a moderate risk, which is the 2nd highest level. 

The risk for severe weather will be elevated in Evansville late Friday/Friday Night.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/#

By metmike - March 11, 2025, 3:36 p.m.
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Day 5 yesterday, has become day 4 on Tuesday. As expected, they INCREASED the magnitude of the severe weather threat. 30% is the HIGHEST category that they use at this time frame.

Tomorrow, when  the threat moves up to day 3 it will be analyzed on a completely different scale and we will see the severity levels more finely tuned.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/#


I'll probably start a new thread on this tonight that starts with this event.