Get all the comprehensive weather here:
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/
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There will be a slight risk on many days late this week which the Storm Prediction Center has not added to the days 4-8 yet because of uncertainty.
However, the risk level WILL elevate on day 5, Friday and especially day 6, Saturday with very high confidence base on the rapidly strengthening jet stream during the period, along with a surface cold front lifting the warm, humid air mass in place.
This is the 250 mb jet stream(32,000 feet) late Saturday from the last 6z GFS model. The pinks in the center of the jet STREAM are a jet STREAK with the HIGHEST winds. They create the strongest dynamics of all.
Southwest IN will be in the right rear quadrant of the jet stream/streak above which increases upper level divergence. That will enhance storm activity in addition to the lift from the cold front other dynamics associated with the developing storm.
It doesn't look like a major tornado outbreak but it wouldn't be surprising to see the Storm Prediction Center put down an area of level 3, elevated risk at some point for Friday and especially Saturday.
| HABYTIME MINI LECTURE 26: QUADRANTING A JET STREAK |
METEOROLOGIST JEFF HABY
https://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints2/601/
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2 METHODS OF QUADRANTING JET STREAK
METEOROLOGIST JEFF HABY
https://theweatherprediction.com/habyhints3/748/
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THE 300 / 200 MB CHART
METEOROLOGIST JEFF HABY
theweatherprediction.com
https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/winds/JetStream_Stuff/300_200_chart.htm
At the link below, you can get the Storm Prediction Center's daily risk assessments going out 8 days. Nothing outlined for days 4-8 here on Monday but they WILL add a couple of THOSE days to their risk assessment as we get closer based on the jet stream analysis on the previous page:
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Below is an image of the assessment at Noon on March 30, 2026. Again, look for that bottom 2 windows (days 3-8) to start adding risk tomorrow. Mainly for days 3-4 tomorrow which will be for Friday and Saturday.
