Previous NG thread:
NG 3-18-26
56 responses |
Started by metmike - March 18, 2026, 7:05 p.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/118808/
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The late week 2 part of the European Ensemble model came out MUCH colder with a trough dropping in the Great Lakes which forces the heat ridge much farther west!
500mb map for June 15th below.

Note the line at the top/right which marked the time frame(around 2:30 am) with the end of the 0z European Ensemble model coming out and the selling commencing which accelerated when the big funds came in around 6am!
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/natural-gas

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The actual CDDs below(right/purple was the last 0z run-12 hours after the previous run) have not responded yet because the cooler air is poised to drop down from Canada into the Midwest/Northeast at the end of the period. The trajectory of the CDD graph below from future runs will likely cause the plot to curve to the right and close the gap with the climatological average in green which is INCREASING linearly to the left.

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7 day temps for this Thursdays 9:30am EIA NG storage number:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/tanal/temp_analyses.php

The 12z European Ensemble model was -4 CDDs vs the previous 0z run!

The 12z GEFS in brown also had some end of week 2 cooling but this model remains MUCH warmer than the EE model.
