Sugar
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Started by gedigan - July 19, 2026, 10:16 a.m.

Here's a nice example of a balanced market moving from Premium (green) to Discount (red shaded area), with a stop raid annotated. Really Nice example! 

Anyway, moving forward.. Anyone watching Sugar?

Ya may want to put it on your radar list.

Fourth quarter 2025 until now she's been range bound 

Weekly she's trying to change direction. 


As always trade what you see & understand


Comments
Re: Sugar
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By metmike - July 19, 2026, 12:06 p.m.
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Thanks very much, gedigan!

Re: Sugar
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By knox10 - July 19, 2026, 7:26 p.m.
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Will be a buyer with weekly close over 15.2.

October contract. 

Re: Re: Sugar
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By metmike - July 19, 2026, 9:51 p.m.
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Thanks, knox!

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/sugar

1.  10 years: October 2023 top. Loooong move down with a 10 month bear flag from May 2024 to Mar 2025.

2. 1 year: Symmetrical wedge/triangle with lower highs and higher lows in 2026.

3. 1 month: Potential symmetrical wedge with lower highs and higher lows. 

4. 1 week: Strong end to the week, closing near the highs after barely making new lows just after the open on Friday but reversing to sharply higher on the day/close.



By metmike - July 19, 2026, 11:10 p.m.
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Sugar and Sweeteners Yearbook Tables

  

  • Updated: 7/17/2026

https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/sugar-and-sweeteners-yearbook-tables

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Brazil and India lead the world in raw sugar production by a wide margin!

This is the refined #11 sugar that trades on the ICE exchange(Intercontinental Exchange)

Sugar Producing Countries 2026

https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/sugar-producing-countries


Sugar beets and sugar cane below

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Top Sugar Refining Countries in the World — Sugar refining countries

https://globalsugarsupply.com/sugar-refining-countries/

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AI Overview

 In sugar trading, "ICE" refers to the Intercontinental Exchange, which hosts the world's primary global benchmarks for trading raw and refined sugar. It offers standardized futures and options contracts used by producers, consumers, and investors for speculation, hedging, and physical price discovery. [1, 2, 3, 4]The ICE exchange offers three primary sugar contracts: [1]
  • Sugar No. 11 Futures (SB): The global benchmark for pricing raw cane sugar, traded in U.S. cents per pound. Each contract represents 112,000 pounds (about 50 metric tons). [1, 2, 3]
  • Sugar No. 16 Futures: Similar to No. 11, but specifically designated for raw cane sugar delivered domestically within the United States, operating under a U.S. quota system. [1, 2]
  • White Sugar Futures (WC): Based in London (ICE Europe), this contract prices refined white sugar and is quoted in U.S. dollars per metric ton. [1, 2]
Participants trade these contracts to lock in future prices, protecting themselves against volatile crop conditions, weather patterns, and currency movements


By gedigan - July 31, 2026, 12:05 p.m.
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Last chart I posted was a weekly, looking at today's daily. We have a nice rection off the gap.

After the 1st re-test of the daily gap (Jul. 16th) my eye is immediately drawn to both a labored 2nd re-test and ease of movement from the Jun. lows.


Maybe markup has begun. TWT huh 

(Little over an hour before close, I'd like to see a strong close)


By metmike - July 31, 2026, 1:57 p.m.
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Thanks, gedigan!

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/sugar

1. 1 year below: Symmetrical triangle with lower highs and higher lows). Tightening coil pattern.

Could break out either way with upside slightly preferred.


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What is a Coiled Market? Definition and Insights

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/coiledmarket.asp

Triangle Pattern

By gedigan - Aug. 7, 2026, 12:47 p.m.
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Hey everyone.

This is a beautiful setup and my personal favorite. Established channel with a price imbalance rejection. 

Reaction out of the channel.. icing on the cake!

As always, trade what you see and understand.



Sugar
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By metmike - Aug. 7, 2026, 12:54 p.m.
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Thanks very much, gedigan!

Broken out to the upside!!!

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/sugar

1. 1 month

2. 1 year


Re: Sugar
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By gedigan - Aug. 20, 2026, 9:24 p.m.
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Last update on a setup and trade. 

A perfect example of a measured move.. Breakaway gaps.

Markets are fractal (patterns that repeat on different time-frames)!!


Best of trades