long bond seasonal patterns
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Started by bear - April 27, 2018, 11:15 p.m.

seasonal average is to bottom in late april,  and then have a bull run for the rest of the year.

but... it is hard to tell how much this average pattern  has been distorted by a 35+  year bull market in bonds.

the pattern may change once the bull turns to a bear pattern.  

By clacy - April 28, 2018, 9:16 a.m.
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I'm not a strong believer in seasonal patterns for bonds, but I think there are way too many bond bears loading up right now.  Could be setting up for a widow maker.