MM
Not sure if this is trading or not
If not, then please move the post
Does anybody think we will go to negative int rates??
One reason for TR is anybody that trades bonds might chip in with thoughts
Our country follows your country lock step, only a bit later re: int rates
I have to think int will at least go lower, if only to allow the gov't to pay int on the debt, a bit longer
Germany and a lot of other countries pay negative int rates on bonds they sell, today
I know why negative int rate bonds sell, but I have to think that market is limited
The USA sells a lot of bonds, would the market buy those bonds at zero or less???
The USA has to do something to pay int on the debt, thus the logical solution is to pay less int on bonds that are sold
But, if enough bonds, world wide, are not sold, would we have a credit freeze, or default
Eventually I think we would have a depression, as this whole thing plays out to the final inning
Does my thinking make any sense???
Is the last inning a lot closer than most think???
What else could happen???
The bond market is very close to a major top. I timing with Bonds is not so good so I am not picking a date or price but the way I see it, there is no chance that the US bond market will go negative within the next 5 years. What happens after that is too far forward to see.
Hi nRichard
I agree negative int rates does seem a remote possibility, but I would not think it impossible
However, if you think bonds are near a top then you think int rates will go up, if bonds go down
Why do you think int rates will go up???
That seems to me the most unlikely thing that would happen