Cold Blast coming next week!
8 responses | 4 likes
Started by metmike - Oct. 23, 2019, 4:30 p.m.

Major cold blast in the middle of the country next week. This will feature some early snow in the colder air ahead of Halloween.


                            

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/temp_probhazards_d8_14_contours.png

                                    


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By metmike - Oct. 23, 2019, 4:34 p.m.
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Tentative areas that might be getting snow next week...........this will change.

                        

     

            

                            

      

            

      

            

By metmike - Oct. 23, 2019, 4:49 p.m.
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By metmike - Oct. 23, 2019, 5:49 p.m.
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The main snow fall is forecast to be northwest of us here in southwest Indiana(with an outside chance of some snow) but this brings back memories of our earliest snow ever........26 years ago, just before Halloween!

I went trick or treating with the kids on Halloween Sunday, with several inches of snow on the ground from the previous day.

https://www.weather.gov/pah/SnowOct29-31_1993



                                    


              +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

           


From The Vault: Halloween snowstorm in Cincinnati in 1993


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uzosOgVFQJY


A surprise snowstorm hit the Cincinnati area on the weekend of Oct. 30-31, 1993. When it ended on Sunday, there were 6.2 inches on the ground, marking the first White Halloween on record in the region. The 5.9 inches of snow on Saturday – Halloween Eve -  was a record for a single day in October.  The next day, the coldest high temperature for Halloween - just 36 degrees – kept a lot of trick-or-treaters home.




By metmike - Oct. 24, 2019, 3:47 p.m.
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No big changes since Wednesday.

Temperatures vs average for days 3-7.  


Big blue disparities........warm East Coast.


https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/medr_mean.shtml


http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/hpcmaxwbg.gif


https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/95Bwbg.gif

                                    

By MarkB - Oct. 25, 2019, 12:27 p.m.
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Might kick off the seasonal uprise in NG. The charts are right for it. And it would appear that this cold snap will eventually be nationwide by the end of the week. Time to turn the heat on.

By metmike - Oct. 25, 2019, 12:34 p.m.
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"Might kick off the seasonal uprise in NG."


Mark, now thru early December is actually one of the WEAKEST times of year for natural gas prices in most years. The exception of course is unusually cold Novembers.

Spring is when you want to be long NG on seasonals. 


                By metmike - Oct. 13, 2019, 7:54 p.m.            

            https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/40956/


This seasonal price chart below is for 2 decades, ending back in 2009.

We should note from this chart that prices often bottom in late August................and we did have a bottom in that time frame with a stronger than usual rally in September, thanks to the heat using up so much natural gas for cooling. 

That top was well defined in September and it will take some sustained, cold to go higher than that. 

Late October thru early December is very often a weak period for ng prices. When its warm during that period, its extraordinarily tough for prices to go up.  
Natural Gas Futures (NG) Seasonal Chart

                                    

By metmike - Oct. 28, 2019, 10:59 a.m.
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Latest snowfall forecast:


By metmike - Oct. 29, 2019, 11:47 a.m.
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Latest snow forecast