South America weather-November/December
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Started by metmike - Nov. 19, 2019, 9:05 p.m.

Crop calendar for Argentina:

http://www.soybeansandcorn.com/Argentina-Crop-Cycles


Argentina Month-By-Month Crop Cycles

Below is a breakdown of the month-by-month crop production cycles in Argentina(just  2 months below). Go to the link for the rest.


November

  • Corn planting finishes in central Argentina.
  • Corn pollination starts in northern Argentina.
  • Soybean planting at full steam.
  • Wheat moving from grain filling to maturity.
  • Sunflowers are flowering.
  • Temperatures now at summertime levels, can have heat waves as well.
  • Summertime rains usually become more abundant.

 

December

  • Last corn planted in southern Argentina.
  • Corn beginning to pollinate in central Argentina.
  • Corn in northern Argentina moving from grain filling to maturity.
  • Finish planting full season soybeans.
  • Main month for harvesting wheat.
  • Start planting double crop soybeans after wheat is harvested.
  • Temperatures now approaching maximum summer highs.
  • Rainfall usually abundant, but can have dry spells.

 

Global Crop Production Maps by Region

https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/rssiws/al/global_cropprod.aspx

https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/rssiws/al/crop_production_maps/ssa/AR_Delegation/Argentina_soybeans_department_2014_2017.jpg                                    

Comments
By metmike - Nov. 19, 2019, 9:06 p.m.
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Crop Calendar for Brazil:

http://www.soybeansandcorn.com/Brazil-Crop-Cycles


November

  •  
  • Early November is main soybean planting period in Brazil, full season corn crop should be all planted by now.
  • Earliest planted soybeans may start flowering by end of the month. 
  • Early planted corn begins pollination.
  • Rainfall now more frequent, 3-4 times a week, temperatures remain very hot in central Brazil.

December

  •  
  • Finish soybean planting, early-planted soybeans flowering and setting pods.
  • Begin spraying to control soybean rust.
  • Corn crop completes pollination and begins grain filling.
  • Cotton planted begins in central Brazil.
  • Rains every day, especially in central Brazil, southern Brazil not quite as wet.
  • Cloud cover and rain holds temperatures in the 90's.
  • https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/rssiws/al/crop_production_maps/Brazil/Municipality/Brazil_Soybean_prod_2015.jpg

                                        
By metmike - Nov. 19, 2019, 9:07 p.m.
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It's had been pretty dry in much of South America this year. The maps below are for 30 days, 90 days and 180 days % of average precipitation:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Precip_Monitoring/Figures/global/n.30day.figb.gif


https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Precip_Monitoring/Figures/global/n.30day.figb.gif



https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Precip_Monitoring/Figures/global/n.90day.figb.gif



https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Precip_Monitoring/Figures/global/n.180day.figb.gif

                                    


            

By metmike - Nov. 19, 2019, 9:09 p.m.
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The forecasts below come from the GFS/US model. Decent rains over much of the area over the next 2 weeks.

Looks pretty HOT in Argentina to S.Brazil...........something to be watched.

http://wxmaps.org/outlooks.php










                               

By metmike - Nov. 19, 2019, 9:10 p.m.
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By metmike - Nov. 19, 2019, 9:13 p.m.
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Previous posts/comments.....we like to see this!


                Re: Re: Re: Re: South America planting  growing            

                   

                By wxgrant - Oct. 22, 2019, 11:09 p.m.            

            

Thanks Mike. This is what I really want to start learning more about. Nice to see other areas where crops are grown when I had no clue a few months ago. 

                            +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++        


           

                By metmike - Oct. 23, 2019, 12:29 a.m.            

            


YW Grant!

                By wglassfo - Nov. 11, 2019, 10:16 a.m.            

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

            

A lot of that SA soil seems to need a rain every week

I still only get the left 1/2 of any map you post

                                    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

                By metmike - Nov. 11, 2019, 11:10 a.m.            

            

Wayne,

You are right about the SA soils. They don't hold moisture as well as ours.


By metmike - Nov. 19, 2019, 9:18 p.m.
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Soybean chart and technical comment from mikempt.

Soybeans have held on and are up a couple of cents this evening.

                Jan Soybeans Bull Flag breakout.            

Started by mikempt - Nov. 17, 2019, 12:31 p.m.

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/43011/

By metmike - Nov. 24, 2019, 9:24 p.m.
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 Widespread rains most places of South America...........with Argentina possibly getting dry in week 2. 

Possible heavy snows in parts of the Cornbelt, mainly  Western Belt/Upper Midwest might be bullish at some point for corn the next few days because of unharvested corn in those areas.

Given the Spring weather and smaller crop  and basis levels, its amazing that CZ prices are this low.

By metmike - Nov. 29, 2019, 12:39 p.m.
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Argentina weather forecasts have in fact turned dry...........almost completely dry the next 2 weeks with the exception of the farthest north growing area.


Still tons of rain in Brazil the next week, before far S. Brazil turns dry early in week 2.

I should add that Argentina has had good rains recently and the first week of dryness will features temperatures below normal.............so it may take awhile for the market to get exited.

If we go another week with this Argentina forecast, I would be surprised if corn and beans can keep dropping. 


By metmike - Dec. 1, 2019, 3:45 p.m.
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Argentina weather still looks dry for 2 weeks. Temperatures are not hot, which will take some of the bullishness away.

Argentina is the worlds #2 corn exporter.

                World corn/soybean production/exports            

                            3 responses |        

                Started by metmike - Dec. 1, 2019, 12:41 p.m.            

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/43733/


                Corn            

                            Started by wglassfo - Dec. 1, 2019, 9:50 a.m.            

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/43710/

By metmike - Dec. 2, 2019, 1:09 p.m.
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On every model run since last night, rain has increased for Argentina after day 10(dry until then). I am LESS bullish on Argentina weather.


Brazil weather has remained ideal with tons of widespread rains over the next 2 weeks. This is especially bearish for beans as Brazil is the worlds biggest exporter of soybeans.......by far and away ahead of the US.



https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/43733/



Beans are just above HUGE support right now after dropping down there and holding during the day session. The Jan S low was 867.5 earlier today, which is around the same as the September lows. 


Key technical support for #soybeans. #oatt #harvest19

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