Crop calendar for Argentina:
Below is a breakdown of the month-by-month crop production cycles in Argentina(just 2 months below). Go to the link for the rest.
Crop Calendar for Brazil:
It's had been pretty dry in much of South America this year. The maps below are for 30 days, 90 days and 180 days % of average precipitation:
The forecasts below come from the GFS/US model. Decent rains over much of the area over the next 2 weeks.
Looks pretty HOT in Argentina to S.Brazil...........something to be watched.
Monitoring rain/satellite pictures:
Rain amounts 24 hours:
Rain amounts for longer periods globally:
Previous posts/comments.....we like to see this!
By wxgrant - Oct. 22, 2019, 11:09 p.m.
Thanks Mike. This is what I really want to start learning more about. Nice to see other areas where crops are grown when I had no clue a few months ago.
By metmike - Oct. 23, 2019, 12:29 a.m.
By wglassfo - Nov. 11, 2019, 10:16 a.m.
A lot of that SA soil seems to need a rain every week
I still only get the left 1/2 of any map you post
By metmike - Nov. 11, 2019, 11:10 a.m.
You are right about the SA soils. They don't hold moisture as well as ours.
Soybean chart and technical comment from mikempt.
Soybeans have held on and are up a couple of cents this evening.
Jan Soybeans Bull Flag breakout.
Started by mikempt - Nov. 17, 2019, 12:31 p.m.
Widespread rains most places of South America...........with Argentina possibly getting dry in week 2.
Possible heavy snows in parts of the Cornbelt, mainly Western Belt/Upper Midwest might be bullish at some point for corn the next few days because of unharvested corn in those areas.
Given the Spring weather and smaller crop and basis levels, its amazing that CZ prices are this low.
Argentina weather forecasts have in fact turned dry...........almost completely dry the next 2 weeks with the exception of the farthest north growing area.
Still tons of rain in Brazil the next week, before far S. Brazil turns dry early in week 2.
I should add that Argentina has had good rains recently and the first week of dryness will features temperatures below normal.............so it may take awhile for the market to get exited.
If we go another week with this Argentina forecast, I would be surprised if corn and beans can keep dropping.
Argentina weather still looks dry for 2 weeks. Temperatures are not hot, which will take some of the bullishness away.
Argentina is the worlds #2 corn exporter.
World corn/soybean production/exports
3 responses |
Started by metmike - Dec. 1, 2019, 12:41 p.m.
Started by wglassfo - Dec. 1, 2019, 9:50 a.m.
On every model run since last night, rain has increased for Argentina after day 10(dry until then). I am LESS bullish on Argentina weather.
Brazil weather has remained ideal with tons of widespread rains over the next 2 weeks. This is especially bearish for beans as Brazil is the worlds biggest exporter of soybeans.......by far and away ahead of the US.
Beans are just above HUGE support right now after dropping down there and holding during the day session. The Jan S low was 867.5 earlier today, which is around the same as the September lows.
The Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) has reduced our dependence on foreign oil, lowered fuel prices at the pump, reduced
metmike: Huge rains in Argentina that has been hot and dry.........bearish grains on Wednesday!
Six hour rainfall totals (in hundredths of inches) in the state of Buenos Aires and nearby areas through Noon CST. Also...third straight day of 100+ degree highs today in southern Cordoba...101 degrees at Noon CST at the city of Laboulaye
We took some rains out of the Argentina forecast but the big story is not weather..........its the China trade deal news!
Trump declares ‘big deal’ with China ‘very close’
6 responses |
Started by metmike - Dec. 12, 2019, 10:24 p.m.
More great rains in Brazil the next 2 weeks.
Dry again in Argentina week 1 before rains return.
metmike: Decent rain event for Argentina Fri/early Sat, then dry for a week, then rains pick up for week 2.
The fast moving weather system with decent rains is now thru around the southern half of Argentina and will be north of the growing areas by early Saturday.
There was enough rain to help a bit temporarily with dry soils but the next rain maker will not be for over a week...........so soils will get drier next week before any serious relief comes in week 2. Week 2 does look pretty wet for Argentina.....right now at least.
They need alot of rain.
Monitoring rain/satellite pictures:
Dry for several days in dry Argentina before rain chances increase.
It looks like S.Brazil will be drying out the next 2 weeks which is turning the South American weather a bit bullish for soybeans.
Still looks like that drying pattern for S.Brazil to start the last week of the year in 2019 and into the first week of January 2020.
Not a massive heat ridge with no rain to keep us soaring higher but just below normal rains and above temps.
Nice rains in Argentina in recent days (values are in inches)
Huge rains coming to S.Brazil in week 2.
Time to update these maps/information to January/February!