LIVESTOCK: August live cattle closed up $0.07 at 104.62
today. Prices closed near mid-range in quieter trading. A
big and bullish double-bottom reversal pattern stillcould
be forming on the daily bar chart, to suggest a market
bottom is in place. But right now the bears still havethe
overall near-term technical advantage.
August feeder cattle closed down $0.17 at $146.57 today.
Prices closed near mid-range. The feeder cattle market
bulls and bears are on a level overall near-termtechnical
playing field. A bullish double-bottom reversal patternhas
formed on the daily chart.
July lean hogs closed down $0.55 at $79.40 today. Prices
closed near mid-range and saw a corrective pullback from
Wednesday’s strong gains. The hog bears still have the
slight overall near-term technical advantage.
GRAINS: July corn futures closed down 1 3/4 cents at
$3.76 1/2 today. Prices closed nearer the session low and
hit a four-month low today. The corn bears have the firm
overall near-term technical advantage to suggest more
downside price pressure in the near term.
July soybeans closed 20 1/2 cents at $9.73 3/4 a bushel
today. Prices closed near the session low and hit a five-
month low today. Bears have the overall near-termtechnical
advantage and have downside technical momentum on their
side.
July soybean meal closed down $5.80 at $359.20 today.
Prices closed near the session low and hit a four-monthlow
today. The meal bears have the overall near-termtechnical
advantage and have downside momentum. Prices are in afive-
week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
July bean oil closed down 5 points 30.60 cents today.
Prices closed near the session low today. The bears have
the overall near-term technical advantage.
July SRW wheat closed up 7 3/4 cents at $5.27 1/2 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today on more short covering
and bargain hunting. SRW bulls have the overall near-term
technical advantage.
July HRW wheat closed up 5 1/2 cents at $5.45 1/4 today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. The bullshave
the overall near-term technical advantage.
SOFTS: July sugar closed down 47 points at 11.73 cents
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today, hit a
two-week low and scored a bearish “outside day” down onthe
daily bar chart. The sugar bears have firm the overall
near-term technical advantage and gained fresh powertoday.
July coffee closed down 250 points at 115.75 cents today.
Prices closed near the session low again today and closed
at a contract low close. The coffee bears have the solid
overall near-term technical advantage and gained morepower
today.
July cocoa closed down $28 at $2,268 a ton today. Prices
closed nearer the session low and hit another three-month
low today. The cocoa bears have the overall near-term
technical advantage. Prices are in a six-week-olddowntrend
on the daily bar chart.
July cotton closed up 131 points at 92.28 cents today.
Prices closed nearer the session high. The bulls have the
solid overall near-term technical advantage and have
regained chart power.
July orange juice closed down 140 points at $1.6450today.
Prices closed nearer the session low today. While bulls
still have the overall near-term technical advantage,
recent pressure begins to suggest a market top is inplace.
July lumber futures closed up $6.00 at $598.70 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high. Recent strong
selling pressure still suggests a major market top is in
place.
METALS: August gold futures closed up $0.30 at $1,301.70
today. Prices closed nearer the session low today. Gold
price action has turned choppy and sideways recently. The
gold bulls and bears are on a level overall near-term
technical playing field.
July silver futures closed up $0.136 at $16.83 today.
Prices closed near mid-range and hit a six-week hightoday.
The silver bulls have regained the slight overallnear-term
technical advantage field.
July N.Y. copper closed up 180 points at 328.00 cents
today. Prices closed near mid-range and hit a 4.5-month
high today. The copper bulls have the firm overall near-
term technical advantage. However, the market is now
overbought and due for a corrective pullback very soon.
ENERGIES: July Nymex crude oil closed up $0.98 at $65.71
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today onshort
covering and bargain hunting. The recent sell-off still
suggests a market top is in place.
July heating oil closed up 413 points at $2.1679 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high today. Given the
steep losses in crude oil recently, it’s also likely
heating oil has topped out, too. The bulls still have the
overall near-term technical advantage.
July (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 463 points at
$2.1163 today. Prices closed near the session high onshort
covering after hitting a four-week low on Wednesday. Big
losses in crude recently suggest gasoline has peaked,too.
The bulls still have the slight overall near-termtechnical
advantage.
July natural gas closed up 4.0 cents at $2.936 today.
Prices closed near mid-range today. Bulls have theoverall
near-term technical advantage amid recent choppy trading.
The next upside price breakout objective for the bulls is
closing prices above solid technical resistance at the
January high of $3.01.
CURRENCIES: The September Euro
currency closed up 43 points at 1.1903 today. Pricesclosed
near mid-range and hit a two-week high on more short
covering. A bullish weekly high close on Friday would
suggest a near-term market bottom is in place. The bearsdo
still have the overall near-term technical advantage.
The September Japanese yen closed up 385 points at .91780
today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. Bears
still have the overall near-term technical advantage.
The September Swiss franc closed up 63 points at 1.0296
today. Prices closed near the session high and hit a six-
week high today. The Swissy bears still have the overall
near-term technical advantage. However recent priceaction
suggests a market bottom is in place. Prices are in a
fledgling uptrend.
The September Canadian dollar closed down 155 points at
.7725 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Thebears
have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.Bulls'
next upside price breakout objective is closing prices
above solid chart resistance at the May high of .7875.
The September British pound closed up 18 points at 1.3491
today. Prices closed near mid-range today. The bearsstill
have the firm overall near-term technical advantage.Prices
are in a six-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart.
The September U.S. dollar index closed down 0.294 at92.915
today. Prices closed near mid-range and hit another two-
week low today. The bulls still have the overallnear-term
technical advantage. However, a bearish weekly low closeon
Friday would begin to suggest a market top is in place.
September U.S. T-Bonds closed up 28/32 at 143 9/32 today.
Prices closed nearer the session high and scored abullish
“outside day” up on the daily bar chart today. The bond
market bears still have the overall near-term technical
advantage.
September U.S. T Notes closed up 8.5 (32nds) at 119.17.5
today. Prices closed near mid-range today and scored a
bullish “outside day” up on the daily bar chart. Thebears
have the overall near-term technical advantage.
GENERAL STOCK MARKET COMMENT: U.S. stock indexes closed
lower today, on profit taking after the S&P hit a2.5-month
high and the Nasdaq a contract high this week. Worldstock
markets were mostly firmer overnight. There remainskeener
risk appetite among traders and investors in the world
marketplace. In overnight news, the Euro zone reportedits
gross domestic product (GDP) rose at an annual rate of1.5%
in the first quarter of this year. That is well down from
the 2.8% growth rate seen in the bloc in the fourthquarter
of last year. Traders are looking ahead to this weekend’s
Group of Seven meeting between the major industrialized
countries of the world. Trade and import tariffs will
likely be the major topic of discussion among the finance
ministers of the major world economies.
Thanks very much Jim...........a bit early today I see!