INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - Oct. 22, 2020, 4:47 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Friday, October 23, 2020  



9:45 AM ET. October US Flash Manufacturing PMI



                       PMI, Mfg (previous 53.5)



9:45 AM ET. October US Flash Services PMI



                       PMI, Services (previous 54.6)


The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes



The Dow closed higher on Thursday due to gains in JP-Morgan Chase and Boeing stocks. Additional support came from news that Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi raised hopes for coronavirus relief package. Signs of an improving labor market came from the weekly jobless claims data that showed 787,000 people filed for unemployment benefits in the week of Oct. 17, which was lower than the 875,000 analysts expected but still historically high. Jobless claims fell to 8.3 million, versus the 9.6 million expected. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices remain possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 28,012.72 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If the Dow renews the rally off September's low, September's high crossing at 29,199.35 is the next upside target. First resistance is October's high crossing at 28,957.90. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 29,199.35. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 28,012.72. Second support is the 25% retracement level of the March-September-rally crossing at 26,464.30. 



The December NASDAQ 100 closed slightly higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading.  Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 11,500.50 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off September's low, September's high crossing at 12,465.25 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 12,197.00. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 12,465.25. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 11,500.50. Second support is October's low crossing at 10,204.50.   



The December S&P 500 closed higher on Friday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 3395.56 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off September's low, September's high crossing at 3516.60 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 3498.10. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 3516.60. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3395.56. Second support is the October 2nd low crossing at 3304.70.  



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December T-bonds closed down 1-04/32's at 171-31.

  

December T-bonds closed lower on Thursday as it extends the decline off August's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews the decline off September's high, June's low crossing at 171-16 is the next downside target. Multiple closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 175-26 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 174-07. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 174-28. First support is today's low crossing at 172-06. Second support is the June 5th low crossing at 171-16.



December T-notes closed down 115-pts. at 138.070.



December T-notes closed lower on Thursday as it extends the decline off August's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off September's high, the 75% retracement level of the June-August-rally crossing at 137.286 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 139.073 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 138.278. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 139.025. First support is today's low crossing at 138.085. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the June-August-rally crossing at 137.286.          



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



November crude oil closed higher on Thursday due to signs of economic recovery and progress on a U.S. aid package.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the September 18th high crossing at $41.72 would open the door for additional gains near-term. Closes below the October 12th low crossing at $39.04 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the September 18th high crossing at $41.72. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $43.78. First support is the October 12th low crossing at $39.04. Second support is September's low crossing at $36.58.   



November heating oil posted an inside day with a higher close on Thursday as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Wednesday's close below the 20-day moving average crossing at $115.50 signals that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. Closes above the October 9th high crossing at $120.59 are needed to renew the rally off October's low. First resistance is the October 9th high crossing at $120.59. Second resistance is the August 31st high crossing at $127.80. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $115.50. Second support is October's low crossing at $106.88. 



November unleaded gas posted an inside day with a higher close on Thursday as it extends the September-October trading range. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November extends the decline off October's high, October's low crossing at 109.58 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 118.01 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is October's high crossing at 123.53. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 128.26. First support is October's low crossing at 109.58. Second support is September's low crossing at 106.60.   



November Henry natural gas closed lower due to profit taking on Thursday as it consolidated some of this week's gains. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If November extends the rally off October's low, monthly resistance marked by the May-2016 high crossing at 3.177 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.708 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 3.066. Second resistance is the May-2016 high crossing at 3.177. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.825. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.708. 



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The December Dollar posted an inside day with a higher close on Thursday as it consolidated some of this week's losses. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold, diverging but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off September's high, September's low crossing at 91.75 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 93.59 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 25% retracement level of the March-September-decline crossing at 94.72. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the March-September-decline crossing at 96.33. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 92.46. Second support is September's low crossing at 91.75. 



The December Euro closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off September's low, the September 10th high crossing at 119.42 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at crossing at 118.74 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the September 10th high crossing at 119.42. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 120.38. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at 117.02. Second support is September's low crossing at 116.30. 

 

The December British Pound posted an inside day with a lower close on Thursday as it consolidated some of Wednesday's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off September's low, the August 19th high crossing at 1.3270 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2949 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 1.3182. Second resistance is the August 19th high crossing at 1.3270. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2949. Second support is September's low crossing at 1.2679.

 

The December Swiss Franc closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 1.0927 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off September's low, August's high crossing at 1.1138 is the next upside target. First resistance is the September 10th high crossing at 1.1081. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 1.1138. First support is October's low crossing at 1.0869. Second support is September's  low crossing at 1.0781.



The December Canadian Dollar closed slightly higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 75.60 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off September's low, September's high crossing at 76.97 is the next upside target. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 76.46. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 76.97. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at 75.42. Second support is October's low crossing at 74.97.



The December Japanese Yen posted an inside day with a lower close on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's rally, September's high crossing at 0.0963 is the next upside target. Closes below Tuesday's low crossing at 0.0946 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 0.0959. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 0.0963. First support is October's low crossing at 0.0943. Second support is September's low crossing at 0.0940.  



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



December gold closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower  opening when Friday's night session begins trading.  Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews the decline off August's high, the 38% retracement level of the March-August-rally crossing at $1771.40 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $1930.30 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1930.30. Second resistance is the September 16th high crossing at  $1983.80. First support is the reaction low crossing at $1877.10. Second support is the September 24th low crossing at $1851.00.



December silver closed lower on Thursday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December renews the rally off September's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 25.817 is the next upside target. Closes below October's low crossing at 22.965 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 25.817. Second resistance is the September 15th high crossing at 27.865. First support is October's low crossing at 22.965. Second support is September's low crossing at 21.810. 



December copper closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off March's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 323.02 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 301.88 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 321.80. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 323.02. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 201.88. Second support is October's low crossing at 283.45. 



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



December Corn closed up 2-cents at $4.15 3/4. 



December corn closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off August's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off August's low, the July-2019 high crossing at $4.23 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.90 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $4.19. Second resistance is the July-2019 high crossing at $4.23 1/2 is the next upside target. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $4.02. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.90.    



December wheat closed down $0.08 1/4-cents at $6.21 1/2.  



December wheat closed lower on Thursday.The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.94 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off June's low, monthly resistance crossing at $6.66 1/4 is the next upside target. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at $6.38 1/4. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $6.66 1/4. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.13 3/4. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.94.       



December Kansas City Wheat closed down $0.11 1/4-cents at $5.58 1/2.

 

December Kansas City wheat closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.30 1/4 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off August's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $6.05 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $5.79 3/4. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $6.05. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $5.51 1/2. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.30 1/4.     



December Minneapolis wheat closed down $0.08-cents at $5.74 1/2. 



December Minneapolis wheat closed lower on Thursday as it consolidated some of the rally off August's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off August's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $6.00 3/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at crossing at $5.47 3/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is 75% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $5.87 3/4. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $6.00 3/4. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at crossing at $5.59 3/4. Second support is the 20-day moving average  crossing at $5.47 3/4.     

     

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



November soybeans closed down $0.00 3/4-cents at $10.71 1/4.



November soybeans closed fractionally lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If November renews this summer's rally psychological resistance crossing at $11.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.39 3/4 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $10.85 1/4. Second resistance is psychological resistance crossing at $11.00. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $10.39 3/4. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $9.92 3/4.



December soybean meal closed up $2.70 to $381.50. 



December soybean meal closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off August's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off August's low, monthly resistance crossing at $404.90 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at  $357.70 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at  $390.80. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $404.90. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $368.50. Second support is the the 20-day moving average crossing  at $357.70.       



December soybean oil closed up 51-pts. at 33.71. 



December soybean oil closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December renews the rally off October's low, September's high crossing at 35.49 is the next upside target. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 32.28 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 34.46. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 35.49. First support is October's low crossing at 31.47. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the March-September-rally crossing at 30.68.      

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



December hogs closed down $3.00 at $66.20. 



December hogs closed limit down on Thursday as it consolidated some of the rally off October's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $66.00 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off June's low, the July-2019 high crossing at $73.45 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at $72.80. Second resistance is the July-2019 high crossing at $73.45. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $66.00. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $61.60.     



December cattle closed down $1.23 at $103.35 



December cattle closed sharply lower on Thursday as it extends this month's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this month's decline, the 50% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at $101.55 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $110.20 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $108.24. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $110.20. First support is today's low crossing at $103.15. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at $101.55. 



November Feeder cattle closed down $0.60-cents at $130.55. 


November Feeder cattle closed lower on Thursday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but are turning neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $136.90 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If November extends the decline off September's high, the 75% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at $122.90 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $133.78. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $136.90. First support is the 62% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at $127.74. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at $122.90.       



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



December coffee closed higher due to short covering on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off September's high, the 87% retracement level of the June-September rally crossing at 10.18 is the next downside target. Closes above last-Monday's high crossing at 11.34 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. 



December cocoa closed higher on Thursday and above the 20-day moving average crossing at 24.56 confirming that a short-term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's rally, the 50-day moving average crossing at 25.16 is the next upside target. If December renews the decline off September's high, July's low crossing at 21.15 is the next downside target.                   



March sugar closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off September's low, February's high crossing at 15.10 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 13.99 would signal that a short-term top has been posted.           



December cotton closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off April's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off April's low, January's high crossing at 73.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 68.02 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. 

Comments
By metmike - Oct. 23, 2020, 12:06 a.m.
Like Reply

Thanks tallpine!


Bearish weather for all of South America vs record demand/China buying.


Natural gas weather shifting bearish.