Ida downgraded from extremely dangerous cat 4 after landfall LA
25 responses | 0 likes
Started by WxFollower - Aug. 25, 2021, 5:14 p.m.

 Invest 99L, which is in the SW Caribbean, appears to already be developing. Models have been unanimous on it forming for a few days along with a high threat to the western Gulf, namely TX and LA. This has the potential of being a very dangerous storm.

 Regarding potential effects on commodities, I'd say NG, oil, gasoline, and CT. Then perhaps electricity and lumber.

 Any others?

Comments
By metmike - Aug. 25, 2021, 7:20 p.m.
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 for alerting us to this Larry.

I'm working on an outdoor project this week and will try to stay on it. Please keep us updated with your latest valuable thoughts.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

                             
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 Click for Eastern Pacific 


    
               

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Active Storms | Marine Forecasts
2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook  |  5-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
        
                                            
By metmike - Aug. 26, 2021, 11:24 a.m.
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Tropical storm, then Hurricane Ida on the way.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?start#contents


[Key Messages]

By metmike - Aug. 26, 2021, 11:26 a.m.
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Just 3 storms away from Larry after this one!

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml

Atlantic Names

Atlantic Pronunciation Guide (PDF)

202120222023202420252026
Ana
Bill
Claudette
Danny
Elsa
Fred
Grace
Henri
Ida
Julian
Kate
Larry
Mindy
Nicholas
Odette
Peter
Rose
Sam
Teresa
Victor
Wanda
Alex
Bonnie
Colin
Danielle
Earl
Fiona
Gaston
Hermine
Ian
Julia
Karl
Lisa
Martin
Nicole
Owen
Paula
Richard
Shary
Tobias
Virginie
Walter
Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harold
Idalia
Jose
Katia
Lee
Margot
Nigel
Ophelia
Philippe
Rina
Sean
Tammy
Vince
Whitney
Alberto
Beryl
Chris
Debby
Ernesto
Francine
Gordon
Helene
Isaac
Joyce
Kirk
Leslie
Milton
Nadine
Oscar
Patty
Rafael
Sara
Tony
Valerie
William
Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dexter
Erin
Fernand
Gabrielle
Humberto
Imelda
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Nestor
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy
Arthur
Bertha
Cristobal
Dolly
Edouard
Fay
Gonzalo
Hanna
Isaias
Josephine
Kyle
Leah
Marco
Nana
Omar
Paulette
Rene
Sally
Teddy
Vicky
Wilfred

Since 1953, Atlantic tropical storms had been named from lists originated by the National Hurricane Center. They are now maintained and updated through a strict procedure by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization.

By metmike - Aug. 27, 2021, 2:43 a.m.
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Latest forecast from the NHC below:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/270322.shtml?


Ida predicted to hit  the LA border late Sunday, peaking around 120 mph.

Hit the link below to get the satellite loop:

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=gm&band=13&length=96

Band 13 - 10.3 µm - Clean Longwave Window - IR - 28 Aug 2021 - 0826 UTC



Ida will pop up in the southern part of the surface pressure and wind map below on Friday and grow greatly over the weekend! This map is updated constantly. 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=18

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


Areas to the east/northeast or right side of Ida or any hurricane(the dirty side of the hurricane) because of the counterclockwise spin, will  have the speed of the storm adding to the velocity of the wind.

On the west/southwest/left side of Ida or any hurricane, the opposite occurs. Winds will be less by the amount of  forward speed of the hurricane.

If Ida is traveling at 10 mph in the north direction for instance, we subtract 10 mph from the hurricane winds on its west/left side with respect to the ground/ocean. So a 90 mph wind circulation actually becomes 90- 10 = an 80 mph wind.

On the right/east side, the speed ADDS 10 mph to the circulating wind speed and we get 90 +10 =100 mph. 



Image result for right side of hurricane adds to winds graphic

                                    


            

By metmike - Aug. 27, 2021, 3:10 a.m.
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https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/sst/rsst_atl_anom_loop.php


                                    


By metmike - Aug. 27, 2021, 3:19 a.m.
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By metmike - Aug. 27, 2021, 3:20 a.m.
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Excessive rain threat.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml


Current Day 1 ForecastCurrent Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Forecast


Day 1 Threat Area in Text Format  


Current Day 2 ForecastCurrent Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Forecast



                  

                            Current Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Forecast

              ++++++++++++++++

Severe Storm Risk.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/

Current Day 1 Outlook
        1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook             
         
          Current Day 2 Outlook
          0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook               
      
          Current Day 3 Outlook
          0600 UTC Day 3 Outlook               
     
          Current Day 4-8 Outlook
          Day 4-8 Convective Outlook

                                    

                                    


By metmike - Aug. 27, 2021, 3:22 a.m.
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We are around 2 weeks before the historical peak for named storms in the Atlantic basin, which is around September 10th but each year is different.




By metmike - Aug. 27, 2021, 11:13 a.m.
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Ida adjusted to 120 mph in forecast for late Sunday, when hitting LA Coast.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/270322.shtml?

By metmike - Aug. 27, 2021, 5:23 p.m.
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NHC forecast up to 140 mph!

By metmike - Aug. 28, 2021, 12:51 p.m.
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By metmike - Aug. 29, 2021, 2:53 a.m.
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Last forecast was still 130 mph.

By mcfarm - Aug. 29, 2021, 9:29 a.m.
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seems like when ever we are so desperate as to look for water from a hurricane here all we get are low hanging clouds, big wind, and rain that wraps around the core and misses us to the east and west. north or south. In other words the same since 7/16

By metmike - Aug. 29, 2021, 12:11 p.m.
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Ida at 130 mph.

You can see the eyewall clobbering the LA coast right now! Maps below are constantly updated.  Today is the 16 year anniversary of Katrina.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/270322.shtml?

https://www.weather.gov/lix/

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=gm&band=13&length=96

Local Radar


By metmike - Aug. 29, 2021, 12:41 p.m.
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By metmike - Aug. 29, 2021, 6:32 p.m.
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Ida will be slowly weakening to below hurricane strength on Monday morning.

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/74215/#74358

https://weather.com/news/news/2021-08-29-hurricane-ida-louisiana-new-orleans-mississippi-news

At a Glance

  • More than 449,000 power outages are being reported.
  • It could be up to 72 hours before people can be rescued.
  • The situation in Grand Isle is being described as catastrophic.
By metmike - Aug. 30, 2021, 6:48 a.m.
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Ida down below hurricane strength, moving north, in southwest MS.

Use this radar loop for an awesome view with 240 images

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=gm&band=13&length=240


Radar loop from Jackson MS.............the one to follow on Monday.

https://www.weather.gov/jan/


Local Radar


https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=15#

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=15#


By metmike - Aug. 30, 2021, 1:14 p.m.
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Ida about to drop below tropical storm strength:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?start#contents

[Key Messages]

By metmike - Aug. 30, 2021, 1:19 p.m.
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/

SPC Products Overview



Radar loop from Jackson MS.............the one to follow on Monday.

https://www.weather.gov/jan/

Local Radar


Use this radar loop for an awesome view with 240 images

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=gm&band=13&length=240


By metmike - Aug. 30, 2021, 1:21 p.m.
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By metmike - Aug. 31, 2021, 1:23 p.m.
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By metmike - Sept. 1, 2021, 12:59 p.m.
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Yesterdays Ida rains hit cutworms farms!

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/74200/#74473

                By cutworm - Sept. 1, 2021, 9:43 a.m.            

            

                                             

I hope that mcfarm received some rain last night. I had 1.5 inches of very timely rain last night 8-31

           

                Re: Re: mcfarm/cutworm rains            

           

                By metmike - Sept. 1, 2021, 12:55 p.m.            

                                                              

This is wonderful cutworm.

Compliments of Ida!(just barely). We missed this last one.....barely but were in good shape from getting lucky with several previous rains.  24 hour rains below.

https://water.weather.gov/precip/


By metmike - Sept. 1, 2021, 5:54 p.m.
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https://www.weather.gov/phi/

Just about every color in the rainbow on the Philly NWS map!


                                    

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17


https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17#


                                    



By metmike - Sept. 2, 2021, 1:17 a.m.
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By metmike - Sept. 3, 2021, 4:17 p.m.
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A look at Ida's impact and climate change:

                Hurricane Ida Update            

                            10 responses |      

                Started by mikempt - Sept. 2, 2021, 8:20 a.m.     

       https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/74503/