iowa futures market
6 responses | 0 likes
Started by bear - Dec. 31, 2021, 6:40 p.m.

the odds of the pubs controlling both the house, and senate, continue to rise.

of course a LOT can happen between now and november.  

i should have bought into this market a few months ago........

if these odds reverse, it won't be because of anything biden does.  it will be something from the courts or something from left field that no one is expecting.  

By bear - Jan. 8, 2022, 10:39 p.m.
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same trend is still in place for now.  

By bear - Jan. 13, 2022, 7:48 p.m.
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same trend just keeps going up.  pubs taking both chambers.  but here is the big issue.....

will the pubs shoot themselves in the foot between now and november?  

we all know that political parties occasionally have a way of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory !!!!

By metmike - Jan. 13, 2022, 8:40 p.m.
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Thanks bear!

The main thing that could go wrong is if they let Trump back in.

FOX and other far right sources have over half of Republicans convinced that he's what the party needs. 

The main thing that republicans should try to remember is that tens of million of people did not vote for Biden/Harris in November.......they voted for NOT Donald Trump.

Biden/Harris are getting hammered right now for being Biden/Harris the past year and not because they are NOT Donald Trump.

If Trump takes too much control and worst case scenario, runs again, whoever is on the other side will go back to being NOT Donald Trump, which will win every election if the other choice is Donald Trump.

By an even bigger margin in 2024 if Trump runs.

By Jim_M - Jan. 14, 2022, 10:41 a.m.
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Trump will continue to rub people the wrong way and everyday more and more Republicans are going to look to DeSantis and Abbot as their next Presidential candidate.  If Trump knew what was good for him, he would put his support behind one of them.  But he won't.  He's too narcissistic and that is his Achilles heel.  

By wglassfo - Jan. 14, 2022, 11:27 a.m.
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It will be interesting to see if the big money supports Trump

 Follow the money

By Jim_M - Jan. 14, 2022, 1:17 p.m.
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The next Presidential election is 3 years away.  Trump has a way of insulting the very people who support him.  It's a shame.  I still believe in most of his policies.  But a guy like DeSantis has almost the same beliefs as Trump, but is a lot more polished.