INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - July 27, 2022, 4:45 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Thursday, July 28, 2022 



8:30 AM ET. 2nd Quarter Advance estimate GDP

                       Annual Rate, Q/Q% (expected +0.3%; previous -1.6%)

                       Chain-Weighted Price Idx, Q/Q% (expected +7.5%; previous +8.2%)

                       PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +7.1%)

                       Purchase Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +8.0%)

                       Real Final Sales 1st Est, Q/Q% (previous -1.2%)

                       Core PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +5.2%)

                       Personal Consumption, Q/Q% (previous +1.8%)



8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

                       Jobless Claims (expected 249K; previous 251K)

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +7K)

                       Continuing Claims (previous 1384000)

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous +51K)



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 604.2K)

                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 458.2K)

                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 511.1K)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 2401B)

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +32B)

                       

11:00 AM ET. July Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Tenth District Manufacturing

                       Mfg Activity Idx (previous -1)

                       6-Mo Exp Prod Idx (previous 13)

                       Mfg Composite Idx (expected 3; previous 12)

                       6-Mo Exp Composite Idx (previous 10)



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings



4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



Friday, July 29, 2022 



8:30 AM ET. June Personal Income & Outlays

                       Personal Income, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +0.5%)

                       Consumer Spending, M/M% (expected +0.9%; previous +0.2%)

                       PCE Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.6%)

                       PCE Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +6.3%)

                       PCE Core Price Idx, M/M% (expected +0.5%; previous +0.3%)

                       PCE Core Price Idx, Y/Y% (expected +4.7%; previous +4.7%)



8:30 AM ET. 2nd Quarter Employment Cost Index

                       ECI, Q/Q% (expected +1.1%; previous +1.4%)

                       ECI, Y/Y% (previous -3.7%)



9:45 AM ET. July Chicago Business Barometer - ISM-Chicago Business Survey - Chicago PMI

                       PMI-Adj (expected 55.0; previous 56.0)



10:00 AM ET. July University of Michigan Survey of Consumers - final

                       End-Mo Sentiment Idx (expected 51.1; previous 50.0)

                       End-Mo Expectations Idx (previous 47.5)

                       12-Month Inflation Forecast (previous 5.3%)

                       5-Year Inflation Forecast (previous 3.1%)

                       End-Mo Current Idx (previous 53.8)



3:00 PM ET. June Agricultural Prices

                       Farm Prices, M/M% (previous +0.5%)



Monday, August 1, 2022  



9:45 AM ET. July US Manufacturing PMI

                       PMI, Mfg (previous 52.7)



10:00 AM ET. July ISM Report On Business Manufacturing PMI

                       Manufacturing PMI (previous 53.0)

                       Prices Idx (previous 78.5)

                       Employment Idx (previous 47.3)

                       Inventories (previous 56.0)

                       New Orders Idx (previous 49.2)

                       Production Idx (previous 54.9)



10:00 AM ET. June Construction Spending - Construction Put in Place

                       New Construction (previous -0.1%)

                       Residential Construction



11:00 AM ET. July Global Manufacturing PMI

                       PMI, Mfg (previous 52.2)


The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes



The Dow closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the trading range of the past five-days. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends the rally off June's low, the July 10th gap crossing at 32,267.78 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 31,354.89 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the June 10th gap crossing at 32,267.78. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 33.272.34. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 31,354.89. Second support is July's low crossing at 30.143.93.



The September NASDAQ 100 closed sharply higher on Wednesday ending a three-day decline off last-Friday's high. Today's high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September resumes the rally off June's low, June's high crossing at 12,973.75 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 12,041.90 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 12,698.50. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 12,973.75. First support is the July 13th low crossing at 11,479.25. Second support is the June 30th low crossing at 11,351.00. Third support is June's low crossing at 11,092.50.



The September S&P 500 closed sharply higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off June's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September renews the rally off June's low, the 38% retracement level of the January-June decline crossing at 4078.81 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3884.25 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 4028.75. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the January-June decline crossing at 4078.81. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3884.25. Second support is the July 14th low crossing at 3723.75.    



INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""



September T-bonds closed down 7-pts. at 141-29. 



September T-bonds closed slightly lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off June's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 decline crossing at 143-28 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 138-05 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 143-11. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 decline crossing at 143-28. First support is the June 11th low crossing at 136-24. Second support is the June 28th low crossing at 134-08. Third support is June's low crossing at 131-01. 



September T-notes closed up 70-pts. at 120.025.



September T-notes closed higher on Wednesday as it extended the rally off last-Thursday's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off June's low, the 50% retracement level of the December-June decline crossing at 122.204 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Thursday's low crossing at 117.145 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is May's high crossing at 120.195. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the December-June decline crossing at 122.204. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at 117.145. Second support is the June 28th low crossing at 116.110.  



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



September crude oil closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $98.21 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off June's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at $86.43 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $98.21. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $104.51. First support is the July 14thlow crossing at $88.23. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rallycrossing at $86.43.  



September heating oil closed higher on Wednesday while extending July's trading range. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.7951 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off June's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at 3.1874 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.7951. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $4.3703. First support is the July 6th low crossing at 3.2946. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at 3.1874.   



September unleaded gas posted an inside day with a higher close on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.1860 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off June's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at 2.8073 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.1860. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.4348. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $3.8890. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2021-2022 rally crossing at 2.8073.



September Henry natural gas closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the rally off July's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, June's high crossing at 9.598 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 7.560 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 9.419. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 9.598. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 7.560. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 6.880.      



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The September Dollar closed lower on Tuesday as it extends the trading range of the past six-days. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's nights session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off July's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at $104.565 is the next downside target. If September renews the rally off May's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2001-2008 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $114.782 is the next upside target. First resistance is July's high crossing at $109.140. Second resistance isthe 87% retracement level of the 2001-2008 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $114.782. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $105.990. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $104.565.   



The September Euro closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the trading range of the past six-days. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the July 21st high crossing at $1.03200 would signal that a low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. If September renews the decline, the December-2002 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $0.98540 is the next downside target. First resistance is the July 21st high  crossing at $1.03200. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1.04951. First support is the July 14th low crossing at $1.00000. Second support is the December-2002 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $0.98540. 



The September British Pound closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off July's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2250 is the next upside target. If September renews the decline off May's high, the March-2020 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.1438 is the next downside target. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1.2201. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2250. First support is July's low crossing at 1.1778. Second support is the March-2020 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.1438.  

 

The September Swiss Franc closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off July's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, June's high crossing at 1.05910 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.03571 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1.04855. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 1.05910. First support is the July 14thcrossing at 1.01650. Second support is June's low crossing at 1.00235. 



The September Canadian Dollar closed higher on Wednesday as it extended the rally off July's low.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the aforementioned rally, the 62% retracement level of the April-July decline crossing at 78.67 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 77.25 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the April-July decline crossing at 78.09. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the April-July decline crossing at 78.67. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 77.25. Second support is July's low crossing at 75.61.



The September Japanese Yen closed slightly higher on Wednesday as it consolidates above the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.073382. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.075209 is the next upside target. If September renews the decline off May's high, the August-1998 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 0.068730 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 0.074075. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.075209. First support is July's low crossing at 0.072085. Second support is the August-1998 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 0.068730.    



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



August gold closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off last-Thursday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $1737.10 would confirm that a low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. If August renews the decline off June's high, the March-2021 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $1673.30 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1737.10. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1800.70. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $1678.40. Second support is the March-2021 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $1673.30.  



September silver closed higher on Wednesday as it extends July's trading range. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 19.049 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September resumes the decline off March's high, the June-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 17.015 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 19.049. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 20.680. First support is the July 14th low crossing at 18.010. Second support is the June-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 17.015. 



September copper closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off July's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Today's close above the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.4157 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If July renews the decline off June's high, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at 2.8770 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.4157. Second resistance is the June 28th high crossing at 3.8500. First support is the July 15th low crossing at 3.1315. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at 2.8770.



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



December Corn closed up $0.02 1/4-cents at $6.03. 



December corn closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off last-Friday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Monday's high crossing at $6.23 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If December resumes the decline off May's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $5.20 3/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $6.23 3/4. Second resistance is the June 11th high crossing at $6.58 1/2. First support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $5.74 3/4. Second  support is the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $5.20 3/4.    



September wheat closed down $0.13 1/2-cents at $7.90 1/4.  



September wheat closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off May's high, the 75% retracement level of the January-May rally crossing at $7.23 is the next downside target. Closes above last-Wednesday's high crossing at $8.43 1/2 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance last-Wednesday's high crossing at $8.43 1/2. Second resistance is the July 11th high crossing at $9.40 1/4. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $7.54. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the January-May's rally crossing at $7.23.



September Kansas City Wheat closed down $0.15 1/4-cents at $8.61 3/4.



September Kansas City wheat closes lower on Wednesday as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Wednesday's high crossing at $8.97 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off May's high, February's low crossing at $7.64 1/2 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $8.97 3/4. Second resistance is the July 11th high crossing at $9.98 1/4. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $8.14 1/2. Second support is February's low crossing at $7.64 1/2.



September Minneapolis wheat closed down $0.18 3/4-cents at $9.10.



September Minneapolis wheat closed lower on Wednesday as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Wednesday's high crossing at $9.56 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September resumes the decline off May's high, the 75% retracement level of the January-May rally crossing at $8.12 3/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $9.56. Second resistance is the July 11th high crossing at $9.56. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $8.69 1/4. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the January-May rally crossing at $8.12 3/4.

       

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



November soybeans closed up $0.26 1/4-cents at $14.10.



November soybeans closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off last-Friday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If November extends the rally off last-Friday's low, the July 11th high crossing at $14.38 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $13.51 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. If November resumes the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $12.11 1/2 is the next downside target. First resistance is today's high crossing at $14.16 1/2. Second resistance is the July 11th high crossing at $14.38 1/2. First support is the bottom of Tuesday's gap crossing at $13.49 1/4. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at $12.99 1/4.  



December soybean meal closed up $8.30 at $426.10. 



December soybean meal closed sharply higher for the third-day in a row on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's rally, March's high crossing at $436.80 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $396.60 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is March's high crossing at $436.80. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $439.00. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $380.80. Second support is July's low crossing at $375.30.  



December soybean oil closed up 124-pts. at 59.19. 



December soybean oil closed higher on Wednesday as it extends July's trading range. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the July 5th gap crossing at 62.01 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If December extends the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 53.93 is the next downside target. First resistance the July 5th gap crossing at 62.01. Second resistance is the June 29th high crossing at 67.76. First support is July's low crossing at 54.42. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 53.93.

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



August hogs closed up $1.63 at $118.60. 



August hogs closed higher on Wednesday and is poised to extend the rally off June's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the aforementioned rally, April's high crossing at $121.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $110.86 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $118.90. Second resistance is April's high crossing at $121.25. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $114.68. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $110.86. 



October cattle closed down $0.05 at $142.33 



October cattle closed lower on Wednesday as it consolidated some of the rally off July's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October extends the rally off June's low, May's high crossing at $145.10 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $140.12 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is May's high crossing at $145.10. Second resistance is the top of the April 25th gap crossing at $145.98. First support is the July 15th low crossing at $139.30. Second support is July's low crossing at $138.03. 



September Feeder cattle closed up $1.43 at $181.85. 



September Feeder cattle closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidated some of the decline off last-Friday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a higher opening when Thursday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Close below last-Monday's low crossing at $178.10 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews this month's rally, February's high crossing at $188.25 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $184.90. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $188.25. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at $178.10. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $175.75.     



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



September coffee closed sharply higher on Wednesday as it renewed the rally off July's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are  bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $22.23 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at $18.41 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $22.23. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $22.90. First support is July's low crossing at $19.60. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021 rally crossing at $18.41.                    



September cocoa closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the rally off July's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 24.11 would open the door for additional gains near-term. If September renews the decline off April's high, the July-2021 low crossing at 22.32 is the next downside target.     



October sugar closed lower on Wednesday as it extends this month's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends this month's decline, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 16.88 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 18.44 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.                  



December cotton closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off July's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends this month's rally, the June 30th high crossing at 99.49 is the next upside target. If December renews the decline off May's high, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 74.58 is the next downside target. 

Comments
By metmike - July 27, 2022, 6:46 p.m.
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Thanks tallpine!

The weather continues to be bullish for C and especially S.

The Monday Night gap higher for both markets is getting farther and farther away, so it was clearly an upside break away gap.

The hot/dry weather next week is pretty high confidence. Question now, might be......will we close near the highs this week and open Sunday NIght with another gap higher?

If the forecast stays hot and dry than probably.

But it's weather and that often changes...........especially over weekends when the market is closed!

Beans have already added $1 from their Sunday Night lows.\

NG saw the front month expiry earlier. 12z GFS was -6 CDDs, then the 12z European model was +5 CDDs


Latest weather:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/