weekend weather
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Started by coffeeclotch - Aug. 7, 2022, 5:49 p.m.

any shifts bullish or bearish over the weekend?

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By metmike - Aug. 7, 2022, 7:47 p.m.
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Looks cooler, especially the ECB.

however, theres not a lot of rain, especially not in the WCB.


By coffeeclotch - Aug. 7, 2022, 7:53 p.m.
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thanks mike...is the wet more critical at this point ? or the coolness

By metmike - Aug. 7, 2022, 11:24 p.m.
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Tough question to answer.


And the market tonight doesn't know either!


Cool temps are slightly more bearish for corn than beans because the longer that it takes for corn to mature, the more time the plants have to fill the kernels, and the higher the yield.

A cool August with slight dryness is actually better for yields than hot and wet.

Hot and wet might cause the crop to look green and great but causes heat fill......no matter how much water the corn gets.

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/87675/#87784


Beans are filling pods this month which is a key time frame too and cool weather also reduces stress from dry weather.


In Detroit for another week with my almost 97 year old dad but will try to post as much as possible.


By metmike - Aug. 8, 2022, 12:07 a.m.
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Here's the last 18z GFS ensemble rains for 2 weeks.

Bullish WCB but bearish ECB and nuetral CCB but with  temps there COOLER than last week,  it's hard to get too bullish.

By metmike - Aug. 8, 2022, 11:16 a.m.
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6z GFS ensemble rains below

its cooler than last week but also dry in the WCB and probably much of the CCB!

2 week rains from the last GFS ensemble 6z run: