Fake Green Energy Crisis-2
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Started by metmike - Sept. 14, 2022, 3 p.m.

Wave Of German Insolvencies Picks Up Speed…”Tenfold Increase in Gas, Electricity Prices”

From the NoTricksZone

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/11/wave-of-german-insolvencies-picks-up-speedtenfold-increase-in-gas-electricity-prices/


By P Gosselin  

As Germany’s electricity and natural gas prices soar, a wave of companies – some having a long tradition – are filing insolvency. Many midsize companies rely on natural gas as a source of energy, but prices have multiplied since early this year.

Blackout News here reports toilet paper maker Hakle has filed for insolvency, citing “increased energy costs”.

 “Tenfold increase in gas and electricity prices” 

Others include shoe retailer Görtz, who cite low sales as consumers cut back on their discretionary spending, and automobile supplier Dr. Schneider. Steel producer ArcelorMittal in Hamburg und Bremen are also following.

“With a tenfold increase in gas and electricity prices, which we had to accept within a few months, we are no longer competitive in a market that is 25% supplied by imports. We see an urgent need for political action to get energy prices under control immediately,” said Reiner Blaschek, CEO of ArcelorMittal Germany (Financial Market World).

Another industry sector facing extreme hardship is the bakery industry, which relies heavily of affordable energy. According to Blackout News: “For bakeries, the energy crisis is now worse than the Corona pandemic, according to industry sources. ‘We have the problem as a micro baker that we have to adjust our prices to the raw material and energy prices, of course, which also burdens the customer, if he is also a bit tighter on cash,’ says an affected baker from Heilbronn.”

One baker in our local area has seen his monthly gas bills go from 3000 euros earlier this year to 11,000 euros!

“Severe and long-lasting recession” 

The wave of insolvencies has just begun, and is “picking up speed”, writes Blackout News. “What we are seeing now is just the tip of an iceberg. Increased energy prices are affecting all industries, whether directly, as in the case of steel mills and bakeries, or indirectly, as in the case of shoe retailer Görtz. If politicians do not take countermeasures here, Germany will fall into a severe and long-lasting recession, with mass unemployment and a massive loss of prosperity.”

Comments
By metmike - Sept. 14, 2022, 3:01 p.m.
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By metmike - Sept. 14, 2022, 3:05 p.m.
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California And New York: Do Not Back Off Your World-Beating Green Energy Schemes!

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/13/california-and-new-york-do-not-back-off-your-world-beating-green-energy-schemes/

    Mike Maguire

                              September 13, 2022 9:09 am                

If the market needs an amount of energy = 10……..
When does 2 + 2 = 10?

2 + 2  +(bogus promises on paper) +(huge lobby money)   +(crony capitalism) +(corrupt politicians) +(record subsidies) +(misled environmentalists/media)= GREEN ENERGY!

The problem when you persist with the green dream equation above is that the amount of the REAL amount of green energy will always be =4.

The additions in the equation add lots of incentive/enrichment for HAVING green energy but they don’t contribute to REAL energy and there will ALWAYS be a deficit in the real world.

Then there’s the cost in the US……..a realistic estimate of 433 trillion to electrify the entire grid/power everything with solar, wind and batteries. This is 20 times the GDP in the US.

https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/blog/2022-1-14-calculating-the-full-costs-of-electrifying-everything-using-only-wind-solar-and-batteries

Green energy = Boondoggle

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/88534/#88539

By metmike - Sept. 14, 2022, 3:07 p.m.
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By metmike - Sept. 14, 2022, 3:09 p.m.
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Study: Climate Change is Making People Angrier Online

  https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/13/study-climate-change-is-making-people-angrier-online/

  Mike Maguire

          September 13, 2022 11:43 pm

                So that’s why we witnessed widespread world peace during the Little Ice Age(-:

Previous to that, during The Medieval Warm Period, the world was dominated by hatred and anger!        There were constant widespread wars caused by evil people, who were driven by the
very warm temperatures.

As soon as the global temperature dropped below the anger tipping point, at the start of the Little Ive Age, all wars ended and people from every country……race, creed, religion  and gender, hugged each other, held hands and broke out into an uncontrolled  chorus of Kumbia.

    Mike Maguire

                       Reply to             Mike Maguire        

        September 14, 2022 10:50 am

        

Kumbia = Kumbaya (my Lord)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X_eWUOYiWVo

Who also sang this awesome song before?


By metmike - Sept. 14, 2022, 3:23 p.m.
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The Conversation: Climate “scepticism is rapidly becoming a topic for historians”

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/13/the-conversation-climate-scepticism-is-rapidly-becoming-a-topic-for-historians/

    Mike Maguire

                  September 14, 2022 9:40 am                

“So how do we begin to change minds?”

They would  actually need to apply the complete opposite of many of  their current tactics based on reasons stated below………which would require the change to come from that source but here are some good suggestions(some are a bit repetitive)

  1. Give much more weighting to empirical data and let that guide your interpretations. 
  2. Use scientifically honest representations. For instance, not twisting a 1 in 25 year rain event (Dallas, TX August 2022) into a 1 in a 1,000 year rain event. Stop violating the Golden Rule of Climate Extremes and blaming events caused by natural variation on the climate crisis.
  3. Practice the Scientific Method. Scrutinize your own position and its flaws vs doing scientific somersaults and applying clever manipulative use of facts to manufacture and support narratives that defend your position. 
  4. In doing the above, it would become obvious that climate change has featured some huge benefits and that we are actually experiencing a climate optimum for most life. A greening planet with a corresponding increase of food for creatures, including humans for instance. Deaths from extreme weather plummeting lower the last 100 years. No mention of those facts and benefits in the discussion is indisputable evidence of a tunnel vision/one sided view that  alienates all people that incorporate a comprehensive, objective view which includes ALL the evidence/empirical data defining this realm...from both sides.
  5. Stop practicing climate religion based on faith and practice climate science.
  6. Stop believing in everything based on it lining up with the cognitive bias of human nature telling you to believe it. 
  7. Separate the science from the politics currently driving this field.
  8. Separate the science from energy delivery systems and crony capitalism related to that.
  9. Understand that people like me and others with this position are actually enthusiastically practicing environmentalists that understand the damages of over consumption of natural but finite resources in the material world and the need to reign in REAL pollution. 
  10.  Use that and authentic scientific principles above, along with the truth so that we can work together to accomplish positive objectives and not fight over the wasting of the majority of resources that features targeting, almost entirely a scientific/biological beneficial gas and building block of life, CO2. 
  11.  Stop ignoring and in fact CAUSING the much more environmentally damaging solutions to the planet like wind turbine energy………which would become obvious if the objective mindset/principles above were able to be applied/achieved. 
  12.  Forget the objective of “changing minds” to convert people to “the cause” and let authentic science and truth lead the way.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Mike Maguire

                   

                Reply to             Mike Maguire        

        September 14, 2022 2:02 pm

        

Many of us make it a top priority to be good stewards of the planet while protecting life on it. Mischaracterizing us to elevate themselves to a moral high ground, especially by prominent activist hypocrites that gobble up 20 times more natural resources than the people they lecture to is offensive.

By metmike - Sept. 15, 2022, 10:59 p.m.
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Global Decarbonization: Negative Agricultural Impacts

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/15/global-decarbonization-negative-agricultural-impacts/

Consider, for example, the fact that fossil fuels (coal, gas and oil) presently account for approximately 84% of all global energy production and 63% of global electricity production. By legislating these resources into oblivion without a sufficient supply of alternative resources to replace them, such policies are creating scarcity in the market, which scarcity will undoubtedly result in higher energy prices. Consequently, any commodity or product downstream of energy production will be impacted by higher costs—ergo we have at least one significant downside to enacting CO2 emission reduction schemes.

 

Nowhere is this more evident than in the agricultural sector of the economy, which relies on low-cost energy to produce food and other products necessary to sustaining life on the planet. As the costs to produce agricultural products increase, those costs are passed on to the consumer, thereby reducing disposable household income, which reduction also disproportionately burdens the poor.

 

In recent months we have all experienced the sour taste of this unfortunate chain of events to one degree or another as we have dealt with rising gas prices that helped contribute to inflated food prices. Yet that experience represents only the tip of the iceberg compared to what is coming if CO2 emission reduction polices are not reversed and altogether abandoned.


Conclusion 

There is a clear downside to pricing CO2 emissions. It is not only detrimental throughout multiple sectors of the economy, but at increasingly ambitious levels it leads to trade-offs with food security and human health. Unfortunately, it will probably take a much deeper trip down the CO2 emission reduction rabbit hole than we are presently witnessing before society feels the true pain of these schemes and wises up to stop it.

+++++++++++++++++++++++

  Mike Maguire   

        September 15, 2022 8:18 pm        

Thanks very much for the wonderful article!

Craig Idso is an elite authority on this topic!

I don’t know of a place with more comprehensive empirical data on plants and related topics!

http://www.co2science.org/

Related discussions:



NEW:  Dutch farmers and nitrogen :       

  https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/86882/


Another secret about fossil fuels: Haber Bosch process-fertilizers feeding the planet using natural gas-doubling food production/crop yields. September 2019

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/39215/

By metmike - Sept. 16, 2022, 12:15 p.m.
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Interview of Professor Laszlo Szarka by Prof. Franco Battaglia


https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/15/interview-of-professor-laszlo-szarka-by-prof-franco-battaglia/

Let us go back to natural science…

 

«The energy is the basis of the civilisation (see point 1 in Smalley’s list). So, the starting point for the debate is whether anthropogenic CO2 emissions can be reduced to zero by 2050. As said in the first question, the plain answer is: no.

What we see, both extraterrestrial and geological-geophysical forces are changing forever and dynamically, independently of CO2 and Man: this is evidenced both by the Earth’s history and by monitoring ongoing natural processes. Al Gore used to say that the climate science is settled, but he is wrong, because science is never settled.  However, we do have a few mile stones, as summarized in CLINTEL’s World Climate Declaration: 1. Natural as well as anthropogenic factors cause warming, 2. Warming is far slower than predicted, 3. Climate policy relies on inadequate models, 4. CO2 is plant food, the basis of all life on Earth, 5. Global warming has not increased natural disasters, 6. Climate policy must respect scientific and economic realities.»

 

There are hardly any researchers like you who openly speak, but why?

 

«The vast majority of researchers have a terribly narrow field of interest, and readily accept summary findings from more distant fields. It is completely understandable. And many of them don’t even realize that these summaries can be easily fashioned. Compliance with the guidelines has an established and even incredibly sophisticated rewarding system. The final result is an easier career path. The institutional systems have already surrendered, only the hardest researchers resist. Notice that only retired researchers tend to talk about such delicate issues. The situation of young people is even more complicated, because they were educated in the mainstream atmosphere.»


    Mike Maguire                           

        September 16, 2022 9:29 am                

Thanks for sharing!
Truth telling scientists like this will just be condemned and labelled as deniers.

Only people that already know the truth and are able to recognize it will pay attention because the others are trained/conditioned to ignore deniers making statements like this and believe only the manufactured narratives with religious type faith.

By metmike - Sept. 20, 2022, 7:20 p.m.
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Important New Paper Challenges IPCC’s Claims about Climate Sensitivity

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/20/important-new-paper-challenges-ipccs-claims-about-climate-sensitivity/


    Mike Maguire

                    September 20, 2022 4:18 pm                

RADIATIVE FORCING BY CO2 OBSERVED AT TOP OF ATMOSPHERE FROM 2002-2019

https://arxiv.org/pdf/1911.10605.pdf

  “The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report predicted 0.508±0.102 Wm−2RF resulting from this CO2 increase, 42% more forcing than actually observed. The lack of quantitative long-term global OLR studies may be permitting inaccu-racies to persist in general circulation model forecasts of the effects of rising CO2 or other greenhouse gasses.”

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


Profound:  Smoking Guns!!  Proof with accurate 2 decade long measurement of the actual amount of radiative forcing caused by CO2 of 1 irrefutable reason for WHY global climate models continue to be too warm. Climate emergency is really about social justice and brainwashing people. Even MORE confirmation that climate models overstate atmospheric warming. Models clearly too warm yet incredibly programmed to get even HOTTER!  Now, even more confirmation why the models are too warm. August 2020

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/57636/

By metmike - Sept. 21, 2022, 7:05 p.m.
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Collapse Of Energy, Food, Transportation Systems Prompt Calls for Government Nationalization of Industries – Echoes 1930s Push for Great Reset Style Reforms

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/21/collapse-of-energy-food-transportation-systems-prompt-calls-for-government-nationalization-of-industries-echoes-1930s-push-for-great-reset-style-reforms/

    Mike Maguire

         

                Reply to             John Shewchuk        

        September 21, 2022 4:02 pm        

John,
The UN was on this for years before 1992!

For instance, the story below from 1989 shows the same false narratives, using junk science that have continually failed, that we hear today.
When you go to the1st link of this story, you will note the headline/title (that I pasted below) is gone. Several years ago, they deleted it so that it wouldn’t show up in searches.

U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
 PETER JAMES SPIELMANN Associated Press June 29, 1989:

https://apnews.com/article/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0

2nd link with the title:

https://imageholder.org/apnews-1989-jun-29-page-united-nations-predicts-disaster-if-global-warming-not-checked/#:~:text=United%20Nations%20Predicts%20Disaster%20if%20Global%20Warming%20Not,trend%20is%20not%20reversed%20by%20the%20year%202000.

The United Nations created the IPCC(InterGOVERNMENTAL Panel on Climate Change) as the world’s authority on man made climate change………so that they could hijack climate science to accomplish their agenda. 

Their regular reports are used for believers of climate crisis religion, similar to how Christians use the New Testament (-:

Many climate scientists work for the government and most of the grant money to fund climate research targets climate change PROBLEMS. When applying for a grant, guess who will get funded first

  1. Scientists showing the wonderful benefits of this current climate optimum.
  2. Scientists showing the damage caused by a human caused climate crisis that justifies government intervention to fix it.

One of the first things that the IPCC did was REWRITE CLIMATE HISTORY. 

On face value, this sounds delusional/impossible but some of us watched them do it.
They did it to wipe out the Medieval Warm Period that was this warm 1,000 years ago and eliminate consideration of the 100+ previous studies that showed that this warming is NOT completely unprecedented and has to be caused by humans burning fossil fuels. 

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/88287/#88297

We now call the building block for all life, CO2 (a beneficial gas which is greening the planet, with it’s booming biosphere and increasing food for most creatures) ……pollution.

By metmike - Sept. 22, 2022, 1:12 a.m.
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Polar Bear No Closer to Extinction Than It Was 18 Years Ago as Arctic Sea Ice Resists ‘Tipping Point’

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/21/polar-bear-no-closer-to-extinction-than-it-was-18-years-ago-as-arctic-sea-ice-resists-tipping-point/


    Mike Maguire                         

        September 21, 2022 10:10 pm 

How did the polar bear survive the Holocene climate OPTIMUM?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocene_climatic_optimum

“The Holocene Climate Optimum warm event consisted of increases of up to 4 °C near the North Pole (in one study, winter warming of 3 to 9 °C and summer of 2 to 6 °C in northern central Siberia).

Of 140 sites across the western Arctic, there is clear evidence for conditions that were warmer than now at 120 sites. At 16 sites for which quantitative estimates have been obtained, local temperatures were on average 1.6±0.8 °C higher during the optimum than now. Northwestern North America reached peak warmth first, from 11,000 to 9,000 years ago, but the Laurentide Ice Sheet still chilled eastern Canada. Northeastern North America experienced peak warming 4,000 years later. Along the Arctic Coastal Plain in Alaska, there are indications of summer temperatures 2–3 °C warmer than now.[9] Research indicates that the Arctic had less sea ice than now”

By metmike - Sept. 22, 2022, 1:57 a.m.
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Climate Change Threatens Health and Survival of Urban Trees-BBC Junk Science

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/21/climate-change-threatens-health-and-survival-of-urban-trees-bbc-junk-science/


    Mike Maguire

                                September 21, 2022 10:55 pm                

Agree on this being junk science.

It’s like they abolished the law of photosynthesis because of the key positive  contributor CO2.

By metmike - Sept. 24, 2022, 12:27 a.m.
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UN: Climate Inaction Violates Human Rights

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/23/un-climate-inaction-violates-human-rights/

"States that fail to protect individuals under their jurisdiction from the adverse effects of climate change may be violating their human rights under international law,” Tigroudja added.

In the same decision, the Committee indicated that despite Australia’s series of actions, such as the construction of new seawalls on the four islands that are expected to be completed by 2023, additional timely and appropriate measures were required to avert a risk to the Islanders’ lives, since without robust national and international efforts, the effects of climate change may expose individuals to a violation of their right to life under the Covenant.

As remedies, the Committee asked Australia to compensate the indigenous Islanders for the harm suffered, engage in meaningful consultations with their communities to assess their needs, and take measures to continue to secure the communities’ safe existence on their respective islands."


To suggest that Australia’s 1% annual contribution to global CO2 rise has somehow caused the changes to island geography locals are experiencing, which the UNHRC ruled were Australia’s fault, in my opinion is an utter absurdity."

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Mike Maguire      

        September 23, 2022 9:24 pm                

According to the United Nations in 1989, this island should have been “wiped off the face of the earth” a long time ago, along with similar flat island nations by “ocean levels rising up to 3 feet”.

U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
 PETER JAMES SPIELMANN Associated Press June 29, 1989:

https://apnews.com/article/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0

UNITED NATIONS (AP) _ A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.
Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of ″eco- refugees,′ ′ threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.
He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.
As the warming melts polar icecaps, ocean levels will rise by up to three feet, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations, Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday.
Coastal regions will be inundated; one-sixth of Bangladesh could be flooded, displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply, according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.
″Ecological refugees will become a major concern”
++++++++++++++++

They are completely ignoring the much, MUCH better than expected outcome. They should be extremely grateful that the actual predicted crisis is still a very long way off and that Australia is building flood walls well before anything close to the busted predictions happen.

https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/torres-strait-islanders-plead-for-climate-action-as-government-builds-seawall-20220401-p5aa13.html

“The new Boigu seawall is a practical response delivered by all levels of government working together to address the effects of climate change and the threat of inundation for our Torres Strait communities,” Mr Wyatt said.
The federal and Queensland governments, along with the Torres Strait Island Regional Council, are rolling out a $40 million coastal protection infrastructure program across five islands under Australia’s National Climate Resilience and Adaptation Strategy.”

By metmike - Sept. 25, 2022, 12:36 a.m.
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50 Reasons to Re-Think Climate Policy


When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do?  –  JM Keynes

 

Climate Policy is in crisis.

It’s time for a re-think.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/22/50-reasons-to-re-think-climate-policy/

By metmike - Sept. 27, 2022, 2:24 p.m.
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Hurricane Ian's forecast shows the impact of a changed climate              

                  Heard on          All Things Considered      

https://www.npr.org/2022/09/26/1125172887/hurricane-ians-forecast-shows-the-impact-of-a-changed-climate

metmike: One of the wimpiest hurricane seasons in recent decades and of course this  reduces their opportunities to sensationalize when possible........and this is one of them to blame on climate change by NPR.

I love most of their programming but they are living in a make believe weather/climate/biology/agronomy world when reporting on the fake climate crisis.

By metmike - Sept. 27, 2022, 11:08 p.m.
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Florida_hurricanes

The List of Florida hurricanes encompasses approximately 500 tropical or subtropical cyclones that affected the state of Florida. More storms hit Florida than any other U.S. state,[1] and since 1851 only eighteen hurricane seasons passed without a known storm impacting the state. Collectively, cyclones that hit the region have resulted in over 10,000 deaths, most of which occurring prior to the start of hurricane hunter flights in 1943. Additionally, the cumulative impact from the storms totaled over US$216.1 billion in damage (2018 dollars), primarily from Hurricane Andrew, Hurricane Irma and Hurricane Michael in the 1992, 2017, and 2018 seasons respectively.


Note on the list below that 11 of the strongest 14 hurricanes in history occurred BEFORE Climate Change.  

When you look at empirical weather/climate/biological/agronomy data, instead of seeing a climate crisis, we see a scientific climate optimum for life on this greening planet.

Strongest and most intense

Source: HURDAT,[5] Hurricane 
mphkm/h
RankHurricaneSeasonWind speed
Strongest landfallingtropical cyclones in the U.S. state of Floridadagger
1"Labor Day"1935185295
2Andrew1992165270
3Michael2018160260
4"Florida Keys"1919150240
Charley2004
6"Miami"1926145230
"Okeechobee"1928
Donna1960
9"Homestead"1945130215
"Fort Lauderdale"1947
"Florida"1948
"Florida"1949
King1950
Irma2017

                                    


            

                

By metmike - Sept. 28, 2022, 12:15 a.m.
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Meteorologist Tom Sater from CNN 10 minutes ago:

"I wouldn't be surprised to see some places in Florida get 30 inches of rain tomorrow"

He must know a secret that the rest of us don't know.

The narrow strip of bright yellow in the epi-center of the rainfall forecast below is 15 inches.

7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

By metmike - Sept. 28, 2022, 9:03 a.m.
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The pocket of very warm waters off the SW coast of FL likely did play a big role in how strong Ian is this morning at 155 mph!

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/89131/#89285

              Here's our biggest reason for the much stronger than expected hurricane on Wednesday morning:

The pocket of very warm water off the southwest coast of Florida that fueled  Ian's intensification overnight/very early am Wednesday!

Cooler temps farther north, closer to the predicted track several days ago, along with more wind shear would have resulted in a weaker hurricane.

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/89131/#89138


Latest frozen images below for future discussions. The ones above update constantly.

                                   

We should keep in mind, the golden rule of climate extremes:

 https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/88256/

 

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2016/03/the-golden-rule-of-climate-extremes.html

The Golden Rule

Considering the substantial confusion in the media about this critical issue, let me provide the GOLDEN RULE OF CLIMATE EXTREMES. Here it is:

The more extreme a climate or weather record is, the greater the contribution of natural variability.

Or to put it a different way, the larger or more unusual an extreme, the higher proportion of the extreme is due to natural variability.       

+++++++++++++++++++++++++

Climate change could not have caused a pocket of warm water to form in that one location, just like it's not causing the very cool water in the tropical Pacific/La Nina.

It was natural variation. It does contribute to the slightly warmer AVERAGE temps in the oceans, however.      

          

                

By metmike - Sept. 28, 2022, 10:18 a.m.
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Claim: Rising Global Temperatures Point to Widespread Drought

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/28/claim-rising-global-temperatures-point-to-widespread-drought/

Peer-Reviewed Publication 

UNIVERSITY OF EAST ANGLIA

 

More frequent and longer-lasting droughts caused by rising global temperatures pose significant risks to people and ecosystems around the world – according to new research from the University of East Anglia (UEA). 

++++++++++++++++++

    Mike Maguire        

        September 28, 2022 7:13 am                

Models programmed to get an extreme outcome for entirely political reasons.
Why else would they use +4 deg. C?  Who actually thinks that could ever be possible?

Empirical and historical evidence shows that drought increases in colder climates. 

We live on a planet that’s 70% covered by water. If you want to best transport that moisture so that it falls on land areas, increase evaporation and precipitable water. An increase of 1 deg. C has increased the amount of water vapor that the air can hold by 7%.

They could make a case that those warmer temps would increase extreme rain events and blame that on climate change but this is junk science using models to be used for politics not authentic science. 

Interesting graph – Fraction of the Globe in Drought: 1982-2012
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/05/22/interesting-graph-fraction-of-the-globe-in-drought-1982-2012/

Screenshot 2022-09-28 at 09-10-58 sdata20141-f51.jpg (JPEG Image 946 × 381 pixels) — Scaled (81%).png

By metmike - Sept. 28, 2022, 8:22 p.m.
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Fossil Fuels Are the Greenest of Energy Sources

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/26/fossil-fuels-are-the-greenest-of-energy-sources/

    Mike Maguire                  

        September 28, 2022 5:18 pm

   This is one of the most profoundly truthful and underappreciated articles ever presented at WUWT and belongs in the Hall of Fame. 

The mischaracterization of fossil fuels as pollution because of political agenda, crony capitalism and self serving, personal enrichment schemes  is the biggest fraud perpetrated on the world in history………by a wide margin. 

It’s a beneficial gas and building block for all life. The science is indisputable. Greenhouse growers cherish its key role in photosynthesis by boosting levels to 1200 ppm(almost 3X the level in the atmosphere that’s supposedly dangerous).

The replacement for them, for example wind turbines are the energy from environmental hell! Half of the human race has had its ability to use objective,  critical thinking to apply authentic science conditioned out of them.
Instead, they go to sources that tell them what they want to read and hear vs fact checking. Scientists sincerely using the authentic scientific method continue to get fewer and fewer.
Instead the path forward is defined by group think and following mainstream manufactured narratives. The path of least resistance and highest personal/professional rewards. 

Death by GREENING!  
                       
    https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69258/

Another secret about fossil fuels: Haber Bosch process-fertilizers feeding the planet using natural gas-doubling food production/crop yields.

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/39215/

Twenty-Five Industrial Wind Energy Deceptions
https://www.masterresource.org/droz-john-awed/25-industrial-wind-energy-deceptions/

(Fake) Green Energy Scores a 76X ROI for Their Lobbying Efforts

https://www.transparencyusa.org/article/green-energy-lobby-roi

Screenshot 2022-09-28 at 19-16-14 Reply to Re Says it all - MarketForum.png

By metmike - Sept. 29, 2022, 2:20 p.m.
Like Reply

   

After Hurricane Ian: No Trend in Florida Landfalls, Global Activity Trending Down

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/29/after-hurricane-ian-no-trend-in-florida-landfalls-global-activity-trending-down/




 Mike Maguire

        September 29, 2022 11:16 am

Indisputable evidence that Ian was only a cat. 2 hurricane.

Suddenly, Ian is the 4th strongest hurricane in Florida history?
NO IT WASN’T!
Here, let me PROVE it wasn’t. Not even close to a top 10 hurricane for Florida!

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/89131/#89321


    Mike Maguire       

                Reply to             Nicholas McGinley        

        September 29, 2022 6:30 pm

        

“I am 30 miles inland.”
“Yesterday, I had what must have been gusts over 120 mph, and hours of wind between 80 and 100.”

Appreciate your reporting Nicholas. One would think that if this went on for hours, that there would be at least 1 reporting station that showed anything like that.

 “A sustained wind in a hurricane means  one-minute-average maximum sustained winds at 10 m above the surface. Not a wind gust/spike higher in the wind.

Highest wind GUSTS reported below.

A reminder, we hear/read that this hurricane made landfall with 150 mph SUSTAINED winds. It was still being referred to as having 90 mph sustained winds at 11pm, over 6 hours after landfall, when I couldn’t find sustained winds greater than 50 mph at even one reporting station.

The first source below was from reports along the coastline that had the HIGHEST wind gusts of the event.

The 2nd source includes highest wind gusts inland. Again, NOT sustained winds but the peak wind that spiked MUCH higher ABOVE sustained winds used to calculate the intensity of hurricanes.

The empirical data below in the form of measurements/observations comes from extremely reliable sources that serve us 24 hours a day, 365 days a year with accurate weather information.

There is no reason to think that all those instruments were missing something on such a large scale that somehow, dodged them and only happened in between them because of some unknown flaw.

Keep in mind that the reports below were the HIGHEST wind gusts, not the AVERAGE wind gusts or even average sustained winds, which were obviously much lower.
The 2nd link was 15+ hours after the hurricane made landfall. More than enough time for the highest winds to have been measured and reported.

The NWS stated it well last evening. “Dozens of reports of Wind Gusts of Hurricane force( 74 mph or greater) across Southwest Florida.

I agree completely with that!”

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/89131/#89323


    Mike Maguire

              September 29, 2022 6:58 pm        

I should also add that this is not intended to bash the NHC. They are greatly under appreciated and have saved 10’s of thousands of lives with their extremely informative and timely reports.
Meteorologists like myself would never be able to do our jobs effectively without their assistance.

I flew into Hurricane Gloria with their meteorologists in a hurricane hunter in September 1985 and am extremely grateful from a personal standpoint. 

This is intended to make a specific, authentic point about  a massive flaw in how they/we record and communicate wind speeds of hurricanes.

They use a technique to measure wind speed which is independent of land based instrumentation so they can estimate wind speeds over data sparse oceans. 

To be consistent, they continue using that technique when hurricanes are over land……….even when much more accurate surface measurements are available from instruments  just above the ground that tell us what the wind is……..not estimate it. 

This has been going on for many decades. The disparity between NHC estimated winds and actual  land instrument winds is very  well known. However, in 4 decades of following hurricanes, the disparity between these 2 different methods for obtaining winds this time, with Hurricane Ian was twice as great as any other hurricane that I can remember.

By metmike - Sept. 30, 2022, 12:01 a.m.
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CNN and others have been calling hurricane Ian a 1 in 1,000 year weather event from the rain.

Suddenly, 1 in 1,000 year events are happening very frequently, thanks to the new terminology of the fake climate crisis's  new narrative this year.

Hurricane Ian’s rainfall was a 1-in-1,000 year event for the hardest-hit parts of Florida    

https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/29/weather/hurricane-ian-1000-year-rainfall-climate

      Radar estimates suggest well over 12 inches of rain fell in just 12 to 24 hours in a wide swath from Port Charlotte to Orlando. In some of the hardest-hit locations, Hurricane Ian produced 1-in-1,000-year rainfall, according to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.         

      A 1,000-year rainfall event is one that is so intense it’s only seen on average once every 1,000 years – under normal circumstances. But extreme rainfall is becoming more common as the climate crisis pushes temperatures higher. Warmer air can hold more moisture, which loads the dice in favor of historic rainfall.  

metmike: Here we go again!


The Rainiest Days in Florida History

https://www.directac123.com/blog/the-rainiest-days-in-florida-history/

Florida’s precipitation record for 24 hours was Yankeetown in Northwest Florida, which accrued 38.7 inches on September 5, 1950. This is also the highest known storm-total maximum related to any tropical cyclone which impacted Florida. Furthermore, it was also the second highest 24-hour rainfall total in the history of the United States and was the result of Hurricane Easy. It remained the national highest 24-hour rainfall record until Tropical Storm Claudette in 1979.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Florida Deluge Was All-Time Record

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/florida-deluge-was-all-time-record/

More than 15 inches of rain in one day was aided by a warmer atmosphere that can hold more moisture


metmike: Last I checked, 2014 was 8 years ago and 1950 was 72 years ago and 38.7 inches of rain is almost double the top amount from Ian.

One would think that a 1 in 1,000 year rain event  for 24 hours would do better than 50% of the state record for 24 hours.

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

List of wettest tropical cyclones in the United States

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_wettest_tropical_cyclones_in_the_United_States#/media/File:TCstaterainfall.gif

Map showing the highest rainfall totals measured in certain regions of the contiguous United States as of 2020.


++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

            6 rare '1,000-year' rain events within a month? Climate change may force NOAA to update criteria          

            As climate change increases the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events in the U.S., NOAA may soon be updating its thresholds for what constitutes a 1,000-year rain event.          

https://www.foxweather.com/extreme-weather/5-rare-1000-year-rain-events-within-a-month-climate-change-may-force-noaa-to-update-criteria


metmike: Too late...........the media and fake climate crisis advocates have already changed the  definition.

1 in 1,000 year rain events = Any extremely heavy rain event with excessive flooding and they are ALL caused by climate change.

It even applies to events that take place as frequently as every 25 years!


                4th time this Summer for a 1 in 1,000 year rain event            

                            Started by metmike - Aug. 22, 2022, 7:17 p.m.          

  https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/88256/

++++++++++++++++++++

Again, this is what applies:

                                   

We should keep in mind, the goldenrule of climate/weather extremes as stated by Cliff Mass below:

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2016/03/the-golden-rule-of-climate-extremes.html

The GoldenRule

 Considering the substantial confusion in the media about this critical issue, let me provide the GOLDENRULE OF CLIMATE EXTREMES. Here it is:

The more extreme a climate or weather record is, the greater the contribution of natural variability.

Or to put it a different way, the larger or more unusual an extreme, the higher proportion of the extreme is due to natural variability.     

++++++++++++++++

This also applies:

For every 1 deg. C  we warm the atmosphere, it has a 7% increased capacity to hold moisture based on the Clausius-Clapeyron equation.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clausius%E2%80%93Clapeyron_relation

The Clausius–Clapeyron relation, named after Rudolf Clausius[1] and Benoît Paul Émile Clapeyron,[2] specifies the temperature dependence of pressure, most importantly vapor pressure, at a discontinuous phase transition between two phases of matter of a single constituent. Its relevance to climatology is the increase of the water-holding capacity of the atmosphere by about 7% for every 1 °C (1.8 °F) rise in temperature.

++++++++++++++++++++

However, the oceans have  warmed a bit less than that so the amount of  extra precipitable water in a hurricane like this, is probably on the order of +5% because of climate change. All things being equal, that would add 5% more rain to the totals of a hurricane like Ian.

That means that this same system 100 years ago, when the Gulf of Mexico water temperature was slightly cooler would have caused a maximum of 17 inches instead of the isolated 18 inch maximum amounts we saw this time...........an inch of extra rain because of climate change.

Climate change did not cause the event.

Climate change did not double the rainfall.

Climate change likely added 5% more rain or around an inch more.