this AND a rail strike?
3 responses | 0 likes
Started by bear - Oct. 15, 2022, 1:14 p.m.
Comments
By metmike - Oct. 16, 2022, 1:42 a.m.
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Thanks bear,

this is a huge deal!

By metmike - Oct. 16, 2022, 1:59 a.m.
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Soilmoisture anomaly:


These maps sometimes take a day to catch up to incorporate the latest data(the bottom map is only updated once a week).



https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/US/Soilmst/Soilmst.shtml#

                            

Daily Soil Moisture Pecentile       

        Daily Anomaly Soil Moisture (mm)

        Monthly Soil Moisture Change

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/palmer.gif

                       ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/cliwatch/watch.htm#curMonths

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/cliwatch/mtd_cen/month.pperc.png


October 11, 2022 Below

Drought worsening!!

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Maps/CompareTwoWeeks.aspx

Drought Monitor for conus




AUGUST 16, 2022 BELOW

Drought is worse in the WCB compared to 3 weeks earlier

Drought Monitor for conus

July 26, 2022-update

       U.S. Drought Monitor

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Maps/CompareTwoWeeks.aspx

Drought Monitor for conus



Image


@kannbwx

The drought monitor can sometimes be a lagging indicator, but the trend is backed up here by the monthly precip anomalies. That same problem area mentioned above has gotten well below normal rainfall this month. In fact, almost none of the Corn Belt has been distinctly wet.

Image




         Drought monitor previous years:

Image

                                    



7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126


Extended weather.


https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/

6 to 10 day outlooks

Click below for information about how to read 6-10 day outlook maps
 Temperature        Precipitation
Click below for archives of past outlooks (data & graphics), historical analogs to todays forecast, and other formats of the 6-10 day outlooks
ArchivesAnalogsLines-Only FormatGIS Data

Temperature Probability

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
Precipitation Probability

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
 
8 to 14 Day Outlooks

Click below for information about how to read 6-10 day outlook maps
 Temperature        Precipitation
Click below for archives of past outlooks (data & graphics), historical analogs to todays forecast, and other formats of the 8-14 day outlooks
ArchivesAnalogsLines-Only FormatGIS Data

Temperature Probability

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
Precipitation Probability

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
 

                                    


GFS ensemble precip for the next 15 days:

https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php

                                    



By metmike - Oct. 16, 2022, 10:29 a.m.
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The drought was not caused by climate change/global warming…..just the opposite.

its  the result of the current, extremely long lived  La Niña which is cold water anomalies in the tropical pacific. The opposite of a global warming pattern.
this is part of why global warming has paused the past 6 years

the best opportunity to end the drought will come from the slight, mostly beneficial warming resuming which caused the previous 3 decades of growing weather to be the best in the last 1,000 years.

add the beneficial CO2 during that time and growing conditions on the planet were the best since well before humans existed.

that’s why we’ve had massive global greening!

     https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/69258/

La Nina conditions:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf


https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/index.html


Map of SST anomalies