Wildfires in Canada
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Started by metmike - May 19, 2023, 4:53 p.m.

Smoke from Canadian fires is pouring into the US and could linger for days    


By metmike - May 19, 2023, 4:56 p.m.
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Gray shade is from wildfire smoke





By metmike - May 20, 2023, 9:35 a.m.
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 The site below gives us a forecast for the smoke plume for the next 48 hours, constantly updated. Pretty cool, eh?


Skies today in Evansville, IN clearing behind this  cold front with the drier air pouring in would ordinarily be a vivid blue, with very high visibilities. 10-15+ miles. The visibility right now is only 5 miles.

This is from wildfire smoke. The downstream smoke plume from the Alberta wildfires is traveling thousands of miles away from the source.

Of course it's being diluted and not causing air quality issues this far away  but can still be tracked all the way to the Atlantic Ocean!

Current status. Use this site to get specific information about the wildfires in Alberta.


By metmike - June 5, 2023, 1:36 a.m.
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Here's a new site(for us) that gives the wildfire smoke forecast for our Canadian neighbors out to 12 days.

There a bunch of wildfires now in E. Canada too.

Most of these wildfires were caused by humans.

The image copied  below is for 6-6-23/Tue at the moment but may advance automatically every day.  Tomorrow, it may show 6-7-23. I've never used this product.

 Regardless, go to the link and dial in whatever date you want a forecast for.


Fire Weather Index

Here's the previous one again:

48 hour loop: 


By 12345 - June 5, 2023, 2:53 a.m.
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By metmike - June 6, 2023, 5:32 p.m.
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Great site with numerical value of the particulate matter in the air.

Looks like the free version is a constant update of the current condition.

I still see a big wind shift at the end of the work week which should be blowing the E.Canadian smoke AWAY from everybody on Saturday.


Real-Time Air Quality Map | PurpleAir
Real time measurement of air quality on a public map. Useful to community scientists or air quality professionals alike, PurpleAir sensors are easy to install, requiring only a power outlet and WiFi.


To use this forecast model product below, go to the link, scroll down and play the 72 hour animation. The 12z runs are updated around noon, I suspect. The 0z runs are updated around midnight. The frozen frame below is Wednesday eve at 4pm CDT.


72h Hourly Maps at Ground Level - 12 UTC


Click a Canadian region to zoom in






2023-06-07, 16:00 CDT


      Image: 34/73             




By metmike - June 6, 2023, 8:30 p.m.
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This was the update below that I emailed to some people working with my wife that live in Toronto:

After going to the loop, you can hit your cursor on the image to get a zoomed in look of the 72 hour smoke plume map/loop. The frozen image below is zoomed into Ontario for 2am CDT/3am EDT.

There are 73 images in the loop. You can change the speed and  pause on particular images if desired. This is just a forecast model and could be off  based on errors in the wind forecast and especially changes in the fires burning and rain falling.  The farther out in time we go,  the greater the errors in the smoke plume forecast. I've never used this product but will guess that forecast skill  drops a great deal by 72 hours.  

Again, the winds will shift at the end of the week, by early on Saturday. The strong west component blowing smoke AWAY from Toronto after that should clear out the smoke by late Saturday. HIGH CONFIDENCE of that with the exact timing within 6-12 hours.

Good Rain chances early next week will also be providing additional air cleaning of impurities but the smoke should be gone then too.



FireWork: National Wildfire Smoke Model - Environment Canada
Weather Maps, Maps, Modelling, Numerical Weather Forecasting

Weather Topics  | Access city

72h Hourly Maps at Ground Level - 12 UTC - Ontario


Local Time: 

2023-06-07, 02:00 CDT

Image: 20/73 



72h Hourly Maps at Ground Level - 12 UTC

By joj - June 7, 2023, 5:47 a.m.
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I live in NYC.  It is creepy walking outside.  It feels like being on some foreign planet.

I'm supposed to play tennis this morning.  I have no respiratory issues but this air gives me pause.

By metmike - June 7, 2023, 10:20 a.m.
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Thanks, joj!

They had some live reporting from NYC on ABC  news yesterday and it was exactly like you reported...........strange!

By metmike - June 7, 2023, 12:16 p.m.
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You can really tell by this map/actual measurement real time how bad it is in NYC right now.


By metmike - June 7, 2023, 12:25 p.m.
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Friday afternoon forecast. Keep in mind that these  smoke model forecasts exhibit less skill with time. Wind direction,  number of fires burning and rain can have an impact. 


By metmike - June 7, 2023, 5:11 p.m.
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New York City air becomes some of the worst in the world as Canada wildfire smoke blows in


By 12345 - June 7, 2023, 7:48 p.m.
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Particulate levels are expected to remain elevated through Thursday, June 8.
By 7475 - June 7, 2023, 8:22 p.m.
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Big time smoke here along the Jersey coast area - more than Ive ever seen from the local controlled burn offs of the native pine forests.

  The sun prit- near disappeared - was diminished to a small pink pastel disk not even close to the size of a full moon.

It has become rather irritating - I wonder what the forest animals are thinking? Altho the whitetails continue to devour our shrubberies as tho nothing is amiss!


By metmike - June 7, 2023, 8:24 p.m.
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Thanks much, John!

By joj - June 8, 2023, 5:51 a.m.
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I read somewhere that any worker outdoors yesterday is inhaling the equivalent of a pack of cigarettes.  

I've pulled out my N95 mask from my Covid stash.

Mike, no screed from you in this thread about the global warming hoax?  .....   :-)

By 12345 - June 8, 2023, 8:24 a.m.
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"Altho the whitetails continue to devour our shrubberies as tho nothing is amiss!"



By metmike - June 8, 2023, 8:44 p.m.
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Thanks, Joj. Been meaning to do the screed thing for 2 days now!

Heres an example of the BS, using words and junk science:

Record Pollution and Heat Herald a Season of Climate Extremes

Scientists have long warned that global warming will increase the chance of severe wildfires like those burning across Canada and heat waves like the one smothering Puerto Rico.https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/08/climate/canada-wildfires-smoke-extreme-weather.html

How Canada's wildfires and air quality warnings are connected to climate change

Heat in Canada and changing climate contribute to fires and air pollution. 



Here's the authentic science using the data which defines the science:

Natural Resources Canada


Chart showing Number of Fires and Area Burned by Year

We should note that the 6 worst fire seasons in the last 4 decades were during the 1980's/90's BEFORE the fake climate crisis. Also note that the extremes are often defined by large spikes higher than the average. 

Regardless, if you want to use this data HONESTLY, it says the exact opposite of what the media is trying to sell about this current outbreak of wildfires caused almost entirely by natural variation(and humans setting the fires).


You would be disappointed if I ended here, with just this indisputable evidence to solidly prove the point without also trying to teach learning lessons too:

 This can’t be repeated enough times:

It really boils down to this (Cliff Mass can be counted on as an elite source for using objective, authentic science)


The GoldenRule
 Considering the substantial confusion in the media about this critical issue, let me provide the GOLDENRULE OF CLIMATE EXTREMES ...

Here it is:
"The more extreme a climate or weather record is, the greater the contribution of natural variability.
Or to put it a different way, the larger or more unusual an extreme, the higher proportion of the extreme is due to natural variability."


By an extremely wide margin, the main impact of increasing CO2, along with  warming of the planet by 1 deg. C so far is this:



By 7475 - June 8, 2023, 9:34 p.m.
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Thats a first for me , Jean

By metmike - June 8, 2023, 9:37 p.m.
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For this to qualify as a screed, I need to add another page (-:

Do you know how easy that was for me to click on this link to get that data?


I just typed this into Google: "Canadian wildfires data history" then went to that link which was 2nd on the list. It took around 10 seconds.

It seems impossible to believe that professional  journalists writing all the bogus stories tying these wildfires to climate change would not do that. They must have and found it contradicted their false narratives..........so they covered that part up and like usual, wrote stories using junk science and deception to try to convince people that the current climate OPTIMUM for most life is actually a climate crisis. 

They do it all the time in every realm and its just an accepted part of environmental and weather/climate reporting in 2023. They all know they all do it. Journalists in this age are often in that position because they are also political activists that can use their reporting to brainwash readers/viewers/listeners to believe their interpretations of the news. 

The ones that don't, are so brainwashed by their biased  political/environmental activism that they only see what they want to see and think that somehow equates to objective reporting. 

It's almost impossible to get honest climate change reporting.

Here's a source that actually steps outside the brainwash with some truth(of course it's not the typical MSM):

Nothing to do with me! Trudeau blames wildfires on 'climate change' despite being warned for YEARS that Canada needed better forest management to avoid disaster that is now playing out

Fact is that increasing CO2 DOES increase the growth of ALL plants, trees and crops.

This is a wonderful, massive benefit to humans and all life on this planet. Greener planet and more food for all creatures. 

However, the greater the growth of plants/trees, the more fuel you will have for wildfires. Just like the bigger the crop yields/food production, the more storage bins needed to store the crops. 

It's a really, really good thing overall  but we need to make adjustments to respond.

It's called ADAPTATION! 

Sea levels increasing at 1 inch/decade require ADAPTATION.

We're experiencing the best weather/climate on this planet in more than 1,000 years and the best CO2 (the building block of life and beneficial gas) since humans existed. 

The good far outweighs the bad, which means we should continue to go with the good.

Instead, what makes this so absurd are the solutions to replace the good with the bad.

They are retarded violations of the principles of energy, environment and atmosphere. Like putting up bird/bat/whale killing wind turbines that rip up the earth for raw materials and destroy landscapes/ecosystems for diffuse, intermittent energy then...........get this call THAT green energy...........as it replaces fossil fuels that are emitting CO2 which are REALLY greening up the planet big time from the irrefutable law of photosynthesis.

All done for crony capitalism, political agenda, corrupt science and MSM that thrive on  ratings and biased activism. 

This now qualifies as a screed (-:

Screeds are much more powerful when somebody requests it (-:

By metmike - June 9, 2023, 8:39 a.m.
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Dems Seize On Wildfires To Demand Biden Declare A ‘Climate Emergency’


Congressional Democrats have called on President Joe Biden to declare a “climate emergency,” citing wildfires in Canada that caused smoke to drift into the eastern United States, Bloomberg News reported Thursday.

“Millions of Americans are being exposed to toxic air due to climate change,” Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna of California tweeted. “@POTUS should declare a climate emergency.”


This is a blatant lie, easy to prove as such with the data and authentic science below!


Natural Resources Canada


Chart showing Number of Fires and Area Burned by Year

Climate Anxiety: Doomsday Cult or Mental Illness?


 Finally a real expert telling us the truth about Covid19: Greta on CNN. Scaring and converting children into the climate crisis cult.  Eco-anxiety in children. Greta controlled as the United Nation's climate activist puppet. Failed predictions of the UN and past climate crisis religion high priests, like Al Gore. Showing the truth with actual data/observations vs telling people to listen to the fake science. May 2020. https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/52100/

NASA Detects Drop in Global Fires


The area of land burned.

The global area of land burned each year declined by 24 percent between 1998 and 2015, according to analysis of satellite data by NASA scientists and their colleagues. The largest decline was seen across savannas in Africa, and due to changing livelihoods.


                Real Manmade Wildfires            

                            Started by metmike - Nov. 21, 2021, 10:44 p.m.            


West Coast/Oregon fires            

                                      Started by metmike - Sept. 12, 2020, 2:48 a.m.     



  California governor blames wildfires on climate 'emergency'             

                            33 responses |                

                Started by metmike - Sept. 14, 2020, 12:08 a.m.          


By metmike - June 9, 2023, 1:16 p.m.
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History with Fire in Its Eye: An Introduction to Fire in America

C. S. Sargent, map depicting the proportion of U.S. woodland burned in 1880 (1884)


C.S. Sargent, map depicting the proportion of U.S. woodland burned in 1880 (1884)
less than 0.1%less than 0.1%     Sargent's discussion
of forest fires.
0.1 - 1%0.1 - 1%
1 - 10%1 - 10%
more than 10%more than 10%
Causes of fires (1880, U.S.):
Clearing land  1,152Lightning   32
Hunters628Prairie fires12
Malice262Coal pits9
Improving pasturage197Woodcutters3
Camp fires72   Carelessness3
By metmike - June 9, 2023, 1:32 p.m.
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Net Zero Watch@NetZeroWatch


Canadian wildfires: Police in Nova Scotia say some fires deliberately set. Investigations into the three fires have determined each of them to be an act of arson  https://westernstandard.news/news/police-in-ns-say-some-fires-deliberately-set/article_d1b2002e-03b4-11ee-a186-13afdb8ce6ce.html



Cops say some fires in NS are arsonwesternstandard.newsPolice in NS say some fires deliberately set"Initial investigation has determined that all three fires were the result of arson," the RCMP in Nova Scotia stated.


"Must be coordinated arson": Canada wildfire conspiracy claim goes viral as satellite video sparks wild theories


“Most of the theories were that the fires were politically motivated and not just a consequence of accidents or bad decision making. [The conspiracy theories] are symptomatic of something bigger that’s happening.”

Meanwhile, a satellite image of the wildfires has gone viral across social media. It shows how the fires ignited at the “exact same time,” leading some to believe that the fires were coordinated.


metmike: I don't have the exact data/evidence on this incident but know with absolute certainty from following this that:

1. Many extreme activists are mentally ill or delusional,  especially those with this mentality of saving the planet from the fake climate crisis by killing the planet.

2. There have been many thousands of incidents of them doing vandalism and or harm to others and the environment to make their points.

3. Most fires in the last decade were caused by humans setting them, many of those were intentional/arson.

4. I don't do conspiracy theories, I bust them with data/evidence/science. We can assume with high confidence that there is SOME arson from these activists taking place. ..........it's who they are. It defines the personality of the  extreme activists! The question is: How much? Since much of it can't be proven, we are left with speculation but still some facts.


From the Toronto Sun:

WARMINGTON: Cops suspect arson caused wildfire in at least one part of Quebec 


Cutting through the Factual Haze on the Canadian Forest Fires


By metmike - June 9, 2023, 1:58 p.m.
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metmike: This pattern is about to break!

1. Current/Friday morning jet stream from the last 12z GFS.

2. Saturday morning forecast jet stream below from the last 12z GFS.

3. Sunday morning jet stream

By metmike - June 9, 2023, 2:02 p.m.
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By metmike - June 9, 2023, 5:35 p.m.
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This story caused me to cry!

South African Firefighters Sing and Dance After Landing in Canada to Battle Wildfires


Members of a 200-strong group of South African firefighters broke into song and dance after landing at Edmonton International Airport in Alberta, Canada, on Sunday, June 4, to help local crews battle ongoing wildfires in the region.

Footage released by the airport’s management shows firefighters in matching yellow jackets and carrying South Africa flags as they arrived.

The firefighters belong to the Working on Fire crew, part of South Africa’s Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment, local news reported. The crew will be deployed in Alberta for 35 days, reports said.

There were still 71 wildfires burning in Alberta, many of which were considered to be “out of control,” as of Friday, June 9, local fire officials said.

On Friday, Working on Fire said it would be sending an additional 200 firefighters and 13 managers to Alberta the following week.


I have no idea what they're saying but we can feel the love and enthusiasm deep in our hearts and could listen to it for a long time!


By metmike - June 12, 2023, 11:23 p.m.
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Latest air quality below:


Good Climate News: Wildfire Trends Have Fallen Off Significantly Over the Recent Decades



What the Media Won’t Tell you About … Wildfires–Roger Pielke Jr





As we have come to expect from Roger, this is another thorough, well researched and objective analysis. He makes the following points:


  • The IPCC has not detected or attributed fire occurrence or area burned to human-caused climate change
  • Globally, emissions from wildfires has decreased globally over recent decades, as well as in many regions
  • Canada wildfire trends show no increase in recent decades
  • Wildfires used to be much more extensive in past centuries
  • Wildfires are a part of the natural eco-system.


You can read the full analysis here.

By metmike - June 12, 2023, 11:40 p.m.
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By metmike - June 14, 2023, 11:05 a.m.
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Great news for the Canadian wildfires, especially in W.Canada!

Near record rains in Alberta, totals below, from the last 6z GEFS(all models agree).  

The bright red is 6 inches in the epi-center the next 2 weeks. Most of the areas with wildfires will see at least 2 inches of rain(light blue).

 Near record cool temperatures during that period too in W.Canada.

By the end of June, most of these wildfires should be out!

By metmike - June 18, 2023, 12:55 p.m.
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Climate activists!

Man arrested on suspicion of starting Northern California fire that burned more than 100 homes