KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:

Thursday, June 8, 2023  

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

                       Jobless Claims (expected 235K; previous 232K)

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +2K)

                       Continuing Claims (previous 1795000)

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous +6K)

8:30 AM ET.  U.S. Weekly Export Sales

10:00 AM ET. April Monthly Wholesale Trade

                       Inventories, M/M% (expected -0.2%; previous +0%)

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 2446B)

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +110B)

2:00 PM ET. SEC Closed Meeting

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings

Friday, June 9, 2023  

10:00 AM ET. 1^st Quarter Quarterly Services

12:00 PM ET. World Agricultural Supply & Demand Estimates (WASDE)

                       Corn, End Stocks (Bushels)

                       Soybeans, End Stocks (Bushels)

                       Wheat, End Stocks (Bushels)

                       Cotton, End Stocks (Bales)

Monday, June 12, 2023  

2:00 PM ET. May Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts and Outlays of the U.S. Government

The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes  

The STOCK INDEXES: The September NASDAQ 100 was steady to slightly higher overnight as it consolidates some of this year's rally. Overnight trading set the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 14,181.91 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If June extends this year's rally, the 75% retracement level of the 2021-2022-decline on the weekly continuation chart  crossing at 15,202.41 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2021-2022-decline on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 15,202.41. Second resistance is the March-2022 high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 15,268.75. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 14,181.61. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 13,652.08.  

The September S&P 500 was steady to slightly higher overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off March's low, the August-2022 high crossing at 4409.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 4243.23 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 4348.75. Second resistance the August-2022 high crossing at 4409.00. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 4283.95. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 4243.23.

INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"

INTEREST RATES: September T-bonds were lower overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews the decline off April's high, the 87% retracement level of the March-April rally crossing at 124-19 is the next downside target. Closes above Wednesday's high crossing at 128-16 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 129-16. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 130-03. First support is the 75% retracement level of the March-April rally crossing at 125-30. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the March-April rally crossing at 124-19.  

September T-notes were lower overnight as it extends this week's decline. Overnight trading sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews the decline off May's high, the 75% retracement level of the March rally crossing at 112.190 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 114.158 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 115.000. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 115.146. First support is the 75% retracement level of the March-May rally crossing at 112.190. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 111.243.

ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""

ENERGIES:Julycrude oil was higher overnight and sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above Monday's high crossing at $75.06 would signal a resumption of the rally off May's low. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at $67.03 would open the door for a possible test of May's low crossing at $63.90. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at $75.06. Second resistance is the April 28^th high crossing at $76.74. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $67.03. Second support is the May low crossing at $63.90.  

July heating oil was higher overnight and set sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.4310 would open the door for additional gains and a possible test of the April 25^th high crossing at 2.5325. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at 2.2268 would open the door for a possible test of May's low crossing at 2.1550. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.4310. Second resistance is the April 24^th high crossing at 2.5332. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at 2.2268. Second support is May's low crossing at 2.1550.

July unleaded gas was higher overnight as it extends the rally off May's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If July extends the rally off May's low, the 87% retracement level of the April-May decline crossing at $2.6958 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.5142 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 87% retracement level of the April-May decline crossing at $2.6958. Second resistance is April's high crossing at $2.7675. First support is the June 1^st low crossing at 2.4016. Second support is the May 15^th low crossing at $2.3565.      

July natural gas was steady to slightly lower overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.491 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If July renews the decline off March's high, the September-2020 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.795 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.491. Second resistance is the May 19^th high crossing at 2.816. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at 2.136. Second support is the September-2020 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 1.795.

CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"

CURRENCIES:The September Dollar was lower overnight as it extends the trading range of the past three-weeks. Overnight weakness sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last-Friday's low crossing at $102.940 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off May's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2022-2023 decline crossing at $104.932 is the next upside target. First resistance is the March 15^th high crossing at $104.250. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2022-2023 decline crossing at $104.932.First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $102.940. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $101.968.

The September Euro was higher overnight as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Friday's high crossing at $1.08420 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off April's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 1.06472 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $1.08420. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1.09684. First support is the 38% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 1.06472. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 1.04833.  

The September British Pound was slightly higher overnight and sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices near-term. If September renews the rally off May's low, May's high crossing at 1.2705 is the next upside target. If September renews the decline off May's high, April's low crossing at 1.2316 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 1.2564. Second resistance is the May 10^th high crossing at 1.2705. First support is April's low crossing at 1.2316. Second support is the 25% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 1.2100.      

The September Swiss Franc was slightly lower overnight and sets the stage for a slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September resumes the decline off May's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 1.10197 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.12109 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.12109. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.12816. First support is May's low crossing at 1.10700. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 1.10197. 

The September Canadian Dollar was higher overnight as it extends the rally off the May 26^th low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off the May 26^th low, April's high crossing at $75.31 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $74.27 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is May's high crossing at $75.26. Second resistance is April's high crossing at $75.31. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $74.27. Second support is April's low crossing at $73.39.

The September Japanese Yen was slightly higher overnight and sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near-term. If September renews the decline off the March's high, the 87% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 0.070777 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.073484 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.073484. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.075212. First support is the 75% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 0.072174. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 0.070777. 

PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"

Precious Metals: Augustgold was slightly higher overnight as it extends the trading range of the past four-weeks. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $2017.00 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If August renews the decline off May's high, the 38% retracement level of the September-May rally crossing at $1941.90 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $2017.00. Second resistance is the May 4^th high crossing at $2102.20. First support is the 38% retracement level of the September-May rally crossing at $1941.90. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the September-May rally crossing at $1892.30.  

July silver was slightly higher overnight and sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above Wednesday's high crossing at $24.165 would renew the rally off May's low. If July renews the decline off May's high, the 62% retracement level of the March-April rally crossing at $22.541 is the next downside target. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at $24.165. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $26.686. First support is the 62% retracement level of the March-April rally crossing at $22.541. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the March-April rally crossing at $21.705.  

July copper was steady to slightly lower overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.6991 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. If July extends the rally off May's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.8686 is the next upside target. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 3.8115. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.8686. First support is the 75% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 3.4683. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2022-2023 rally crossing at 3.3261. 

GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains

July corn was lower overnight as traders remain cautious about pushing the rally off May's low ahead of this weekends weather forecast that is calling for scattered rain across the Midwest. Overnight trading sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If July extends the rally off May's low, the 75% retracement level of the April-May decline crossing at $6.22 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at $5.77 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.First resistance is the 62% retracement level of the April-May decline crossing at $6.09 1/4. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the April-May decline crossing at $6.22 1/2. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $5.77 1/2. Second support is May's low crossing at $5.47.

July wheat was higher overnight as it consolidates some of Wednesday's losses. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If July extends the rally off May's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.50 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.12 1/2 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.50. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $6.69. First support is May's low crossing at $5.73 1/4. Second support is the March-2021 low crossing at $5.71.

July Kansas City wheat was higher overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July renews the decline off May's high, the 87% retracement level of this month's rally crossing at $7.59 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $8.30 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $8.30. Second resistance is the May 10^th high crossing at $8.63 3/4. First support is the 87% retracement level of this month's rally crossing at $7.59 3/4. Second support is May's low crossing at $7.36 1/4. 

July Minneapolis wheat was higher overnight and sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $8.37 1/4 would open the door for additional gains and a possible test of May's high crossing at $8.88 1/2 later this month. If July extends Wednesday's decline, the May 31^st low crossing at $7.75 1/2 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $8.37 1/4. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $8.88 1/2. First support is the May 31^st low crossing at $7.75 1/2. Second support is May's low crossing at $7.69.      

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains " 

July soybeans were steady to slightly higher overnight. Overnight trading sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If July extends the aforementioned rally, the 50-day moving average crossing at $14.07 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $13.36 1/2 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $14.07. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $14.46 3/4. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $13.36 1/2. Second support is May's low crossing at $12.70 3/4.  

July soybean meal was higher overnight and sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $409.30 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If July renews the decline off March's high, the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2023 rally crossing at $365.60 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $409.30. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $429.40. First support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2023 rally crossing at $388.80. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2023 rally crossing at $365.60.

July soybean oil was steady to slightly higher overnight as it extends the rally off May's low. Overnight trading sets the stage for a slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If July extends the rally off May's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 51.74 is the next upside target. If July renews this year's decline, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 40.19 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 51.74. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 55.12. First support is the 62% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 46.42. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2022 rally crossing at 40.19.