The linear temperature trend of the global average lower tropospheric temperature anomalies from January 1979 through July 2018 remains at +0.13 C/decade...........which is +1.3 C/100 years.
Looking at the chart, I'd say that we'll see a bottom in 3 or 4 years ( the naysayers will enjoy that! ) and then look out.
You might be right Carl.
I am willing to wait for signs like that which indicate that the global climate model projections have it right in order to be more confident. The warming could accelerate higher. This is possible.
For the last 25 years, however the global climate models have all been too warm. So I give greatest weight to the real world and what has actually been happening vs computer simulations of a future atmosphere going out 100 years(that have all been too warm).
I will also continue to objectively analyze ALL scientific data(not just the data which supports what I want to defend or because I was told that the science is settled/debate is over) or because one side labels me as a science denier for doing what I do-disagreeing with them- and their (political) cause.
This is my favorite article from Dr. Spencer, who graduated a couple of years before my at U of M, then went on to get his PHD and was a much better student than me.